Last Frost Day

Frost history / Carefree, AZ

Carefree, AZ: frost dates by year

Last spring and first fall frost at NOAA station USC00021282, 1962 to 2025, measured from daily minimum temperatures.

Elevation 2,530 ft, 33.816, -111.902. Download the data (JSON) · NOAA daily records

Summary at 32°F

Last spring frostFirst fall frost
MedianFeb 21Dec 12
EarliestJan 4 (1993)Oct 30 (1971)
LatestApr 2 (1999)Dec 28 (2018)
Trend1.9 days earlier per decade2.2 days later per decade
Years with data42, 3 with no freeze45, 6 with no freeze

At 28°F (hard freeze) the median last spring date is Jan 31 and the median first fall date is Dec 22.

The trend is a straight-line fit through the years with a freeze. A positive spring trend means the last frost now comes later. Short or patchy records give noisy trends.

Chart

Last spring frost (32°F)

Dec 16Dec 31Jan 15Jan 30Feb 14Mar 1Mar 16Mar 31Apr 151970198019902000201020201963: Feb 131964: Mar 91965: Mar 41966: Mar 51967: Feb 211968: Jan 281969: Mar 161970: Jan 311971: Mar 31972: Feb 71973: Mar 231983: Jan 221984: Jan 221987: Feb 271988: Jan 231989: Mar 41990: Mar 141991: Mar 291992: Jan 161993: Jan 41995: Jan 181996: Mar 11997: Mar 11999: Apr 22000: Jan 42001: Jan 192002: Mar 32004: Feb 52006: Mar 132007: Mar 12008: Feb 62009: Jan 312016: Feb 42018: Feb 252019: Feb 242020: Feb 62023: Mar 22024: Feb 112025: Jan 21

First fall frost (32°F)

Oct 12Oct 27Nov 11Nov 26Dec 11Dec 26Jan 101970198019902000201020201962: Dec 251963: Dec 131964: Nov 161965: Dec 191966: Dec 271967: Dec 11969: Nov 181971: Oct 301972: Dec 61973: Nov 281974: Dec 71982: Dec 21983: Nov 261986: Dec 111987: Dec 141988: Dec 221989: Dec 121990: Dec 211991: Dec 21992: Dec 151993: Nov 261994: Nov 201996: Dec 181997: Dec 261998: Dec 62001: Dec 132003: Dec 272004: Nov 302005: Nov 282006: Nov 302007: Dec 152008: Dec 282009: Dec 92014: Dec 262015: Nov 302018: Dec 282019: Dec 172021: Dec 152022: Dec 14

Dots are single years. The gray line is the median, the green line the fitted trend.

Year by year

YearLast spring 32°FFirst fall 32°FLast spring 28°FFirst fall 28°F
2025Jan 21no dataJan 21no data
2024Feb 11no dataJan 12no data
2023Mar 2no dataFeb 15no data
2022no dataDec 14no datanone
2021no dataDec 15no dataDec 29
2020Feb 6no dataFeb 6no data
2019Feb 24Dec 17Feb 24Dec 29
2018Feb 25Dec 28noneDec 30
2016Feb 4noneFeb 3none
2015no dataNov 30no datanone
2014no dataDec 26no datanone
2009Jan 31Dec 9Jan 31none
2008Feb 6Dec 28Jan 17none
2007Mar 1Dec 15Jan 15none
2006Mar 13Nov 30nonenone
2005no dataNov 28no datanone
2004Feb 5Nov 30nonenone
2003noneDec 27noneDec 29
2002Mar 3noneMar 3none
2001Jan 19Dec 13nonenone
2000Jan 4nonenonenone
1999Apr 2nonenonenone
1998noneDec 6noneDec 7
1997Mar 1Dec 26Jan 8Dec 26
1996Mar 1Dec 18noneDec 18
1995Jan 18nonenonenone
1994noneNov 20noneNov 20
1993Jan 4Nov 26noneDec 24
1992Jan 16Dec 15nonenone
1991Mar 29Dec 2noneDec 2
1990Mar 14Dec 21Feb 16Dec 21
1989Mar 4Dec 12Feb 7none
1988Jan 23Dec 22Jan 20Dec 27
1987Feb 27Dec 14Jan 21Dec 14
1986no dataDec 11no datanone
1984Jan 22no datanoneno data
1983Jan 22Nov 26nonenone
1982no dataDec 2no datanone
1974no dataDec 7no dataDec 24
1973Mar 23Nov 28Jan 22none
1972Feb 7Dec 6Jan 5Dec 12
1971Mar 3Oct 30Mar 2Dec 10
1970Jan 31noneJan 6none
1969Mar 16Nov 18Mar 7Dec 31
1968Jan 28no datanoneno data
1967Feb 21Dec 1Jan 9none
1966Mar 5Dec 27Mar 3Dec 27
1965Mar 4Dec 19Feb 12none
1964Mar 9Nov 16Mar 9Nov 16
1963Feb 13Dec 13Jan 20Dec 13
1962no dataDec 25no datanone

"none" means the station recorded no freeze at that threshold in that half of the year. "no data" means more than 10% of the season's daily readings were missing. Years with no usable data are left out. See the methodology for the rules, and the ZIP lookup for 1991–2020 frost probabilities.