Last Frost Day

Frost history / San Carlos Reservoir, AZ

San Carlos Reservoir, AZ: frost dates by year

Last spring and first fall frost at NOAA station USC00027480, 1951 to 2019, measured from daily minimum temperatures.

Elevation 2,532 ft, 33.182, -110.526. Download the data (JSON), NOAA daily records

Summary at 32°F

Last spring frostFirst fall frost
MedianMar 5Nov 26
EarliestJan 21 (1968)Oct 30 (1971)
LatestApr 17 (1976)Dec 29 (1969)
Trend2.6 days earlier per decade0.5 days later per decade
Years with data5454

At 28°F (hard freeze) the median last spring date is Feb 13 and the median first fall date is Dec 10.

The trend is a straight-line fit through the years with a freeze. A positive spring trend means the last frost now comes later. Short or patchy records give noisy trends.

Chart

Last spring frost (32°F)

Jan 15Jan 30Feb 14Mar 1Mar 16Mar 31Apr 15Apr 301960197019801990200020101951: Mar 191952: Mar 221953: Mar 61954: Mar 141955: Mar 231956: Mar 141957: Feb 31958: Mar 101959: Mar 71960: Feb 271961: Feb 281962: Mar 161963: Mar 61964: Mar 241965: Mar 71966: Mar 61967: Mar 91968: Jan 211969: Mar 161970: Feb 251971: Mar 91972: Feb 151973: Feb 31974: Mar 101975: Mar 291976: Apr 171977: Apr 41978: Feb 201979: Feb 81980: Feb 121981: Feb 81982: Feb 51983: Apr 51984: Feb 221985: Mar 51986: Feb 111987: Mar 11988: Mar 141990: Feb 181991: Mar 281992: Jan 251993: Feb 261994: Feb 241995: Mar 261997: Mar 21998: Mar 82002: Mar 162010: Feb 242011: Feb 212014: Jan 212015: Feb 22016: Feb 172018: Mar 12019: Mar 14

First fall frost (32°F)

Oct 12Oct 27Nov 11Nov 26Dec 11Dec 26Jan 101960197019801990200020101951: Nov 191952: Nov 201953: Nov 191954: Dec 121955: Nov 161956: Nov 21957: Nov 231958: Nov 171959: Nov 271960: Nov 171961: Nov 191962: Dec 231963: Dec 51964: Nov 161965: Nov 291966: Dec 101967: Dec 101968: Dec 41969: Dec 291970: Nov 171971: Oct 301972: Dec 61973: Nov 271974: Oct 301975: Nov 191976: Nov 141977: Dec 71978: Nov 191979: Nov 211980: Dec 71981: Dec 181982: Dec 31983: Nov 241984: Nov 271985: Nov 161986: Dec 31987: Nov 291989: Dec 11990: Nov 271991: Nov 261992: Nov 121993: Nov 261994: Nov 181995: Dec 191996: Dec 11997: Dec 42002: Dec 192003: Nov 242013: Dec 62014: Nov 182015: Nov 72016: Nov 242017: Dec 92018: Nov 16

Dots are single years. The gray line is the median, the green line the fitted trend.

Year by year

YearLast spring 32°FFirst fall 32°FLast spring 28°FFirst fall 28°F
2019Mar 14no dataFeb 21no data
2018Mar 1Nov 16Feb 21Dec 14
2017no dataDec 9no dataDec 22
2016Feb 17Nov 24Feb 14Nov 24
2015Feb 2Nov 7Jan 27Nov 11
2014Jan 21Nov 18noneNov 18
2013no dataDec 6no datanone
2011Feb 21no dataFeb 20no data
2010Feb 24no dataFeb 23no data
2003no dataNov 24no dataNov 24
2002Mar 16Dec 19Mar 5Dec 20
1998Mar 8no dataJan 10no data
1997Mar 2Dec 4Feb 7Dec 12
1996no dataDec 1no dataDec 19
1995Mar 26Dec 19Jan 20Dec 23
1994Feb 24Nov 18Feb 3Nov 20
1993Feb 26Nov 26Jan 5Nov 27
1992Jan 25Nov 12Jan 18Nov 24
1991Mar 28Nov 26noneDec 2
1990Feb 18Nov 27Feb 18Dec 23
1989no dataDec 1no dataDec 12
1988Mar 14no dataMar 12no data
1987Mar 1Nov 29Jan 23Dec 14
1986Feb 11Dec 3Feb 11Dec 12
1985Mar 5Nov 16Feb 7none
1984Feb 22Nov 27Jan 20none
1983Apr 5Nov 24noneDec 6
1982Feb 5Dec 3Feb 3Dec 27
1981Feb 8Dec 18noneDec 24
1980Feb 12Dec 7Jan 25none
1979Feb 8Nov 21Feb 6Nov 21
1978Feb 20Nov 19Jan 25Dec 7
1977Apr 4Dec 7Feb 28none
1976Apr 17Nov 14Mar 6Nov 28
1975Mar 29Nov 19Mar 16Nov 29
1974Mar 10Oct 30Feb 9Nov 4
1973Feb 3Nov 27Jan 26none
1972Feb 15Dec 6Feb 14Dec 13
1971Mar 9Oct 30Mar 4Dec 10
1970Feb 25Nov 17Jan 31Dec 12
1969Mar 16Dec 29Feb 1Dec 31
1968Jan 21Dec 4Jan 2Dec 19
1967Mar 9Dec 10Jan 11none
1966Mar 6Dec 10Mar 5Dec 28
1965Mar 7Nov 29Feb 15none
1964Mar 24Nov 16Mar 10Dec 14
1963Mar 6Dec 5Feb 14Dec 15
1962Mar 16Dec 23Mar 1none
1961Feb 28Nov 19Feb 25none
1960Feb 27Nov 17Feb 26Nov 28
1959Mar 7Nov 27Jan 22none
1958Mar 10Nov 17Jan 25Nov 18
1957Feb 3Nov 23Jan 1none
1956Mar 14Nov 2Feb 18Nov 4
1955Mar 23Nov 16Mar 22none
1954Mar 14Dec 12Jan 19Dec 18
1953Mar 6Nov 19Feb 22Nov 20
1952Mar 22Nov 20Feb 21Nov 26
1951Mar 19Nov 19Mar 4Nov 28

"none" means the station recorded no freeze at that threshold in that half of the year. "no data" means more than 10% of the season's daily readings were missing. Years with no usable data are left out. See the methodology for the rules, and the ZIP lookup for 1991 to 2020 frost probabilities.