Last Frost Day

Frost history / Carmel Valley, CA

Carmel Valley, CA: frost dates by year

Last spring and first fall frost at NOAA station USC00041534, 1959 to 2021, measured from daily minimum temperatures.

Elevation 480 ft, 36.481, -121.724. Download the data (JSON), NOAA daily records

Summary at 32°F

Last spring frostFirst fall frost
MedianMar 8Nov 30
EarliestJan 1 (1961)Oct 28 (1971)
LatestApr 29 (1970)Dec 29 (2018)
Trend3.7 days earlier per decade2.3 days later per decade
Years with data37, 1 with no freeze39, 1 with no freeze

At 28°F (hard freeze) the median last spring date is Jan 17 and the median first fall date is Dec 18.

The trend is a straight-line fit through the years with a freeze. A positive spring trend means the last frost now comes later. Short or patchy records give noisy trends.

Chart

Last spring frost (32°F)

Dec 16Dec 31Jan 15Jan 30Feb 14Mar 1Mar 16Mar 31Apr 15Apr 30May 1519601970198019902000201020201959: Mar 141960: Feb 251961: Jan 11962: Feb 281963: Mar 41964: Apr 251965: Feb 131966: Mar 211967: Apr 201968: Apr 211969: Mar 161970: Apr 291971: Mar 311972: Apr 231974: Feb 231975: Apr 21976: Apr 11977: Mar 292003: Feb 92004: Feb 92005: Jan 42006: Mar 132007: Mar 12008: Apr 242009: Mar 232010: Mar 112011: Apr 92012: Mar 102013: Feb 262015: Feb 232016: Jan 12017: Mar 62018: Mar 52019: Feb 232020: Mar 22021: Feb 26

First fall frost (32°F)

Oct 12Oct 27Nov 11Nov 26Dec 11Dec 26Jan 1019601970198019902000201020201959: Nov 121960: Dec 61961: Nov 161962: Nov 291963: Nov 221964: Nov 141965: Dec 141966: Dec 261967: Dec 111968: Nov 141969: Dec 281970: Dec 31971: Oct 281972: Oct 301973: Nov 41974: Dec 221975: Nov 181977: Nov 192002: Dec 232003: Nov 232004: Nov 202005: Nov 272006: Nov 242007: Dec 92008: Dec 162009: Nov 192010: Nov 242011: Dec 12012: Dec 142013: Dec 42014: Dec 262015: Nov 262016: Dec 172017: Dec 42018: Dec 292019: Dec 272020: Nov 92021: Dec 18

Dots are single years. The gray line is the median, the green line the fitted trend.

Year by year

YearLast spring 32°FFirst fall 32°FLast spring 28°FFirst fall 28°F
2021Feb 26Dec 18nonenone
2020Mar 2Nov 9Feb 5none
2019Feb 23Dec 27Jan 1none
2018Mar 5Dec 29Feb 24none
2017Mar 6Dec 4noneDec 21
2016Jan 1Dec 17noneDec 18
2015Feb 23Nov 26Feb 23Dec 27
2014noneDec 26noneDec 31
2013Feb 26Dec 4Jan 15Dec 4
2012Mar 10Dec 14Jan 18Dec 20
2011Apr 9Dec 1Feb 27none
2010Mar 11Nov 24noneNov 25
2009Mar 23Nov 19Jan 4Dec 6
2008Apr 24Dec 16nonenone
2007Mar 1Dec 9Jan 16Dec 27
2006Mar 13Nov 24Feb 16Dec 19
2005Jan 4Nov 27nonenone
2004Feb 9Nov 20Jan 4Nov 29
2003Feb 9Nov 23nonenone
2002no dataDec 23no datanone
1977Mar 29Nov 19nonenone
1976Apr 1noneJan 2none
1975Apr 2Nov 18Jan 31Dec 31
1974Feb 23Dec 22Jan 2Dec 24
1973no dataNov 4no datanone
1972Apr 23Oct 30noneDec 4
1971Mar 31Oct 28Mar 2Oct 28
1970Apr 29Dec 3Jan 5none
1969Mar 16Dec 28Jan 31none
1968Apr 21Nov 14Jan 3Dec 18
1967Apr 20Dec 11Jan 6Dec 13
1966Mar 21Dec 26Mar 3Dec 28
1965Feb 13Dec 14Jan 8Dec 15
1964Apr 25Nov 14Feb 24Nov 15
1963Mar 4Nov 22Jan 19none
1962Feb 28Nov 29Feb 28Dec 25
1961Jan 1Nov 16nonenone
1960Feb 25Dec 6Jan 4none
1959Mar 14Nov 12Jan 4none

"none" means the station recorded no freeze at that threshold in that half of the year. "no data" means more than 10% of the season's daily readings were missing. Years with no usable data are left out. See the methodology for the rules, and the ZIP lookup for 1991 to 2020 frost probabilities.