Last Frost Day

Frost history / Mecca Fire Stn, CA

Mecca Fire Stn, CA: frost dates by year

Last spring and first fall frost at NOAA station USC00045502, 1951 to 2019, measured from daily minimum temperatures.

Elevation -183 ft, 33.570, -116.073. Download the data (JSON), NOAA daily records

Summary at 32°F

Last spring frostFirst fall frost
MedianFeb 11Dec 4
EarliestJan 3 (2019)Nov 4 (1956)
LatestMar 20 (1979)Dec 31 (1966)
Trend5.7 days earlier per decadelittle change (less than half a day per decade)
Years with data52, 8 with no freeze46, 6 with no freeze

At 28°F (hard freeze) the median last spring date is Jan 30 and the median first fall date is Dec 12.

The trend is a straight-line fit through the years with a freeze. A positive spring trend means the last frost now comes later. Short or patchy records give noisy trends.

Chart

Last spring frost (32°F)

Dec 16Dec 31Jan 15Jan 30Feb 14Mar 1Mar 16Mar 311960197019801990200020101951: Feb 281952: Mar 141953: Mar 31954: Mar 131955: Feb 241956: Mar 131958: Jan 241959: Jan 211960: Feb 131961: Jan 81962: Mar 151963: Jan 231964: Feb 281966: Mar 41967: Jan 201969: Feb 201970: Feb 31971: Mar 71972: Feb 41974: Feb 91975: Feb 241976: Jan 261979: Mar 201980: Feb 121982: Feb 41983: Jan 221984: Mar 61985: Mar 31986: Feb 111987: Jan 221988: Feb 181989: Feb 131991: Mar 101992: Jan 231994: Feb 131996: Feb 271998: Jan 81999: Jan 52009: Jan 52011: Feb 42013: Jan 162015: Jan 42016: Feb 42019: Jan 3

First fall frost (32°F)

Oct 27Nov 11Nov 26Dec 11Dec 26Jan 101960197019801990200020101952: Nov 261953: Dec 61954: Dec 221956: Nov 41957: Nov 301958: Dec 171959: Dec 271961: Dec 81963: Dec 131964: Dec 141965: Dec 191966: Dec 311967: Dec 211968: Dec 41969: Dec 131972: Nov 301976: Nov 291978: Nov 171979: Nov 211982: Dec 171983: Nov 281985: Nov 201986: Dec 11987: Dec 91988: Nov 201989: Nov 291990: Nov 271994: Nov 201996: Dec 31997: Dec 131998: Dec 91999: Nov 232004: Nov 302005: Dec 162007: Dec 172011: Dec 42012: Dec 202013: Dec 52014: Dec 282015: Nov 30

Dots are single years. The gray line is the median, the green line the fitted trend.

Year by year

YearLast spring 32°FFirst fall 32°FLast spring 28°FFirst fall 28°F
2019Jan 3no datanoneno data
2018nonenonenonenone
2017nonenonenonenone
2016Feb 4noneFeb 3none
2015Jan 4Nov 30Jan 3Nov 30
2014noneDec 28noneDec 28
2013Jan 16Dec 5Jan 16Dec 7
2012no dataDec 20no datanone
2011Feb 4Dec 4Feb 4none
2009Jan 5no datanoneno data
2007no dataDec 17no datanone
2005noneDec 16nonenone
2004no dataNov 30no datanone
1999Jan 5Nov 23Jan 1none
1998Jan 8Dec 9noneDec 24
1997noneDec 13nonenone
1996Feb 27Dec 3noneDec 19
1995nonenonenonenone
1994Feb 13Nov 20Jan 9Dec 9
1992Jan 23no datanoneno data
1991Mar 10no dataFeb 3no data
1990no dataNov 27no dataDec 23
1989Feb 13Nov 29Jan 9Dec 12
1988Feb 18Nov 20noneDec 27
1987Jan 22Dec 9Jan 22Dec 15
1986Feb 11Dec 1Feb 11Dec 11
1985Mar 3Nov 20Feb 7Dec 11
1984Mar 6no dataJan 18no data
1983Jan 22Nov 28Jan 2none
1982Feb 4Dec 17Jan 9none
1981noneno datanoneno data
1980Feb 12no datanoneno data
1979Mar 20Nov 21Jan 31Nov 21
1978no dataNov 17no dataDec 8
1977no datanoneno datanone
1976Jan 26Nov 29Jan 14Nov 29
1975Feb 24no dataFeb 2no data
1974Feb 9no dataJan 3no data
1972Feb 4Nov 30Feb 4Dec 12
1971Mar 7no dataMar 3no data
1970Feb 3no dataJan 30no data
1969Feb 20Dec 13Feb 1Dec 30
1968no dataDec 4no dataDec 5
1967Jan 20Dec 21Jan 9none
1966Mar 4Dec 31Feb 14Dec 31
1965no dataDec 19no datanone
1964Feb 28Dec 14Feb 15Dec 16
1963Jan 23Dec 13Jan 22none
1962Mar 15no dataFeb 28no data
1961Jan 8Dec 8nonenone
1960Feb 13no dataJan 18no data
1959Jan 21Dec 27nonenone
1958Jan 24Dec 17nonenone
1957noneNov 30nonenone
1956Mar 13Nov 4Feb 17Dec 10
1955Feb 24noneFeb 22none
1954Mar 13Dec 22Jan 3Dec 29
1953Mar 3Dec 6Feb 21Dec 24
1952Mar 14Nov 26Jan 11none
1951Feb 28no dataFeb 28no data

"none" means the station recorded no freeze at that threshold in that half of the year. "no data" means more than 10% of the season's daily readings were missing. Years with no usable data are left out. See the methodology for the rules, and the ZIP lookup for 1991 to 2020 frost probabilities.