Last Frost Day

Frost history / Mt Carmel, IL

Mt Carmel, IL: frost dates by year

Last spring and first fall frost at NOAA station USC00115888, 1977 to 2011, measured from daily minimum temperatures.

Elevation 430 ft, 38.411, -87.758. Download the data (JSON) · NOAA daily records

Summary at 32°F

Last spring frostFirst fall frost
MedianApr 9Oct 23
EarliestMar 25 (1981)Oct 4 (1999)
LatestMay 1 (2005)Nov 10 (1986)
Trend2.2 days later per decade1.7 days earlier per decade
Years with data2425

At 28°F (hard freeze) the median last spring date is Mar 29 and the median first fall date is Nov 1.

The trend is a straight-line fit through the years with a freeze. A positive spring trend means the last frost now comes later. Short or patchy records give noisy trends.

Chart

Last spring frost (32°F)

Mar 16Mar 31Apr 15Apr 30May 1519801990200020101978: Mar 261979: Apr 71980: Apr 161981: Mar 251982: Apr 101983: Apr 201984: Apr 11985: Apr 91988: Apr 191989: Apr 111990: Apr 181991: Mar 311992: Apr 61993: Apr 31994: Apr 81995: Apr 61996: Apr 151998: Apr 202005: May 12006: Apr 92007: Apr 162008: Apr 292010: Mar 262011: Mar 31

First fall frost (32°F)

Sep 27Oct 12Oct 27Nov 11Nov 2619801990200020101977: Oct 131978: Nov 81979: Oct 141980: Oct 261981: Oct 241983: Nov 51986: Nov 101988: Oct 121989: Oct 191990: Oct 261991: Oct 161992: Oct 191993: Oct 291994: Oct 271995: Nov 31997: Oct 221998: Oct 231999: Oct 42000: Oct 62001: Oct 62005: Oct 272007: Oct 292008: Oct 192009: Oct 182010: Oct 29

Dots are single years. The gray line is the median, the green line the fitted trend.

Year by year

YearLast spring 32°FFirst fall 32°FLast spring 28°FFirst fall 28°F
2011Mar 31no dataMar 27no data
2010Mar 26Oct 29Mar 7Nov 6
2009no dataOct 18no dataDec 4
2008Apr 29Oct 19Apr 15Oct 28
2007Apr 16Oct 29Apr 13Oct 29
2006Apr 9no dataMar 26no data
2005May 1Oct 27Mar 20Oct 27
2001no dataOct 6no dataOct 24
2000no dataOct 6no dataOct 8
1999no dataOct 4no dataOct 23
1998Apr 20Oct 23Mar 24Nov 8
1997no dataOct 22no dataOct 22
1996Apr 15no dataApr 9no data
1995Apr 6Nov 3Apr 6Nov 3
1994Apr 8Oct 27Apr 8Nov 23
1993Apr 3Oct 29Mar 19Nov 1
1992Apr 6Oct 19Mar 23Oct 19
1991Mar 31Oct 16Mar 30Nov 2
1990Apr 18Oct 26Apr 7Dec 5
1989Apr 11Oct 19Apr 11Oct 19
1988Apr 19Oct 12Mar 19Oct 13
1986no dataNov 10no dataNov 10
1985Apr 9no dataApr 9no data
1984Apr 1no dataMar 13no data
1983Apr 20Nov 5Apr 20Nov 12
1982Apr 10no dataApr 10no data
1981Mar 25Oct 24Mar 21Oct 24
1980Apr 16Oct 26Mar 22Oct 26
1979Apr 7Oct 14Apr 6Nov 11
1978Mar 26Nov 8Mar 18Dec 4
1977no dataOct 13no dataNov 12

"none" means the station recorded no freeze at that threshold in that half of the year. "no data" means more than 10% of the season's daily readings were missing. Years with no usable data are left out. See the methodology for the rules, and the ZIP lookup for 1991–2020 frost probabilities.