Last Frost Day

Frost history / Estell Manor, NJ

Estell Manor, NJ: frost dates by year

Last spring and first fall frost at NOAA station USC00282805, 1965 to 2025, measured from daily minimum temperatures.

Elevation 85 ft, 39.383, -74.829. Download the data (JSON), NOAA daily records

Summary at 32°F

Last spring frostFirst fall frost
MedianApr 30Oct 18
EarliestApr 3 (2019)Oct 2 (1997)
LatestMay 22 (2002)Nov 17 (1970)
Trend0.8 days earlier per decade1.5 days later per decade
Years with data6061

At 28°F (hard freeze) the median last spring date is Apr 13 and the median first fall date is Nov 3.

The trend is a straight-line fit through the years with a freeze. A positive spring trend means the last frost now comes later. Short or patchy records give noisy trends.

Chart

Last spring frost (32°F)

Mar 16Mar 31Apr 15Apr 30May 15May 301970198019902000201020201965: Apr 51966: May 111967: May 131968: May 11969: Apr 251970: May 71971: May 11972: Apr 291973: Apr 161974: May 81975: Apr 281976: May 41977: Apr 181978: May 21979: Apr 111980: Apr 231981: May 81982: Apr 291983: May 101984: Apr 121985: Apr 181986: May 41987: May 11988: Apr 261989: Apr 241990: Apr 191991: May 201992: May 211993: Apr 291994: May 141995: Apr 171996: May 141997: May 81998: Apr 131999: Apr 292000: May 12001: May 72002: May 222003: May 52004: Apr 162005: May 52006: May 22007: May 82008: Apr 302009: May 192010: May 112011: Apr 62012: Apr 282013: May 142014: Apr 252015: Apr 252017: Apr 102018: Apr 232019: Apr 32020: May 102021: Apr 42022: Apr 302023: Apr 192024: Apr 262025: Apr 17

First fall frost (32°F)

Sep 27Oct 12Oct 27Nov 11Nov 261970198019902000201020201965: Oct 61966: Oct 181967: Oct 201968: Oct 61969: Oct 161970: Nov 171971: Nov 51972: Oct 101973: Oct 181974: Oct 31975: Oct 311976: Oct 121977: Oct 181978: Oct 91979: Oct 101980: Oct 141981: Oct 201982: Oct 111983: Oct 301984: Oct 71985: Oct 291986: Nov 131987: Oct 151988: Oct 71989: Oct 101990: Oct 271991: Oct 141992: Oct 71993: Oct 241994: Oct 61995: Oct 171996: Oct 51997: Oct 21998: Oct 21999: Oct 82000: Oct 82001: Oct 82002: Nov 12003: Oct 32004: Oct 62005: Oct 272006: Oct 142007: Oct 292008: Oct 202009: Oct 192010: Nov 12011: Oct 302012: Oct 132013: Oct 252014: Oct 202015: Oct 182016: Oct 262017: Nov 112018: Oct 192019: Oct 192020: Oct 312021: Nov 32022: Oct 192023: Nov 22024: Oct 162025: Nov 7

Dots are single years. The gray line is the median, the green line the fitted trend.

Year by year

YearLast spring 32°FFirst fall 32°FLast spring 28°FFirst fall 28°F
2025Apr 17Nov 7Mar 28Nov 14
2024Apr 26Oct 16Mar 23Nov 10
2023Apr 19Nov 2Mar 31Nov 2
2022Apr 30Oct 19Mar 31Nov 15
2021Apr 4Nov 3Apr 4Nov 6
2020May 10Oct 31Apr 19Nov 17
2019Apr 3Oct 19Apr 3Nov 4
2018Apr 23Oct 19Apr 11Nov 11
2017Apr 10Nov 11Mar 25Nov 11
2016no dataOct 26no dataNov 12
2015Apr 25Oct 18Apr 25Oct 18
2014Apr 25Oct 20Mar 28Nov 8
2013May 14Oct 25Apr 5Nov 9
2012Apr 28Oct 13Mar 27Nov 6
2011Apr 6Oct 30Mar 30Oct 31
2010May 11Nov 1Mar 28Nov 3
2009May 19Oct 19Apr 17Nov 4
2008Apr 30Oct 20Apr 17Oct 20
2007May 8Oct 29Apr 14Nov 8
2006May 2Oct 14Apr 10Oct 15
2005May 5Oct 27Apr 17Nov 12
2004Apr 16Oct 6Mar 24Oct 18
2003May 5Oct 3Apr 14Oct 3
2002May 22Nov 1Apr 24Nov 1
2001May 7Oct 8Apr 27Oct 8
2000May 1Oct 8Apr 14Oct 10
1999Apr 29Oct 8Apr 6Oct 15
1998Apr 13Oct 2Apr 13Nov 5
1997May 8Oct 2May 8Oct 23
1996May 14Oct 5May 14Oct 12
1995Apr 17Oct 17Apr 16Nov 5
1994May 14Oct 6Apr 9Nov 12
1993Apr 29Oct 24Apr 5Nov 2
1992May 21Oct 7May 21Oct 20
1991May 20Oct 14Apr 13Nov 5
1990Apr 19Oct 27Apr 19Oct 30
1989Apr 24Oct 10Apr 24Nov 4
1988Apr 26Oct 7Apr 23Oct 14
1987May 1Oct 15Mar 24Oct 26
1986May 4Nov 13Mar 25Nov 13
1985Apr 18Oct 29Apr 10Oct 30
1984Apr 12Oct 7Apr 10Nov 7
1983May 10Oct 30Apr 2Oct 31
1982Apr 29Oct 11Apr 23Oct 18
1981May 8Oct 20Apr 22Oct 20
1980Apr 23Oct 14Apr 18Nov 3
1979Apr 11Oct 10Apr 11Nov 8
1978May 2Oct 9May 2Nov 26
1977Apr 18Oct 18Apr 10Nov 12
1976May 4Oct 12Apr 13Oct 19
1975Apr 28Oct 31Apr 22Oct 31
1974May 8Oct 3May 8Oct 4
1973Apr 16Oct 18Apr 15Nov 4
1972Apr 29Oct 10Apr 28Oct 20
1971May 1Nov 5Apr 16Nov 5
1970May 7Nov 17Apr 13Nov 17
1969Apr 25Oct 16Apr 14Oct 23
1968May 1Oct 6Apr 12Oct 31
1967May 13Oct 20Apr 13Nov 6
1966May 11Oct 18May 11Oct 31
1965Apr 5Oct 6Apr 5Oct 25

"none" means the station recorded no freeze at that threshold in that half of the year. "no data" means more than 10% of the season's daily readings were missing. Years with no usable data are left out. See the methodology for the rules, and the ZIP lookup for 1991 to 2020 frost probabilities.