Last Frost Day

Frost history / Carlsbad Caverns, NM

Carlsbad Caverns, NM: frost dates by year

Last spring and first fall frost at NOAA station USC00291480, 1951 to 2024, measured from daily minimum temperatures.

Elevation 4,435 ft, 32.178, -104.443. Download the data (JSON), NOAA daily records

Summary at 32°F

Last spring frostFirst fall frost
MedianMar 31Nov 10
EarliestFeb 11 (2011)Oct 8 (2000)
LatestMay 2 (2017)Dec 7 (1998)
Trendlittle change (less than half a day per decade)little change (less than half a day per decade)
Years with data5152

At 28°F (hard freeze) the median last spring date is Mar 16 and the median first fall date is Nov 22.

The trend is a straight-line fit through the years with a freeze. A positive spring trend means the last frost now comes later. Short or patchy records give noisy trends.

Chart

Last spring frost (32°F)

Jan 30Feb 14Mar 1Mar 16Mar 31Apr 15Apr 30May 1519601970198019902000201020201951: Apr 121952: Apr 101953: Apr 121954: Mar 151955: Mar 281956: Mar 171957: Apr 141958: Mar 181959: Apr 131960: Apr 21961: Mar 291962: Apr 21963: Mar 141964: Mar 91965: Mar 261966: Mar 231967: Mar 81968: Apr 41969: Mar 251970: Mar 281971: Apr 61973: Apr 101975: Mar 311977: Mar 71978: Apr 181979: Apr 41980: Apr 141981: Mar 91982: Apr 241984: Apr 51986: Feb 131987: Apr 61988: Mar 291989: Apr 111990: Mar 271991: Mar 311992: Apr 211993: Mar 141994: Apr 61995: Apr 231996: Apr 61997: Apr 271998: Mar 201999: Mar 202010: Mar 212011: Feb 112012: Mar 122017: May 22018: Apr 72019: Apr 12024: Mar 9

First fall frost (32°F)

Sep 27Oct 12Oct 27Nov 11Nov 26Dec 11Dec 2619601970198019902000201020201951: Nov 21952: Nov 101953: Nov 201954: Nov 291955: Nov 31956: Nov 41958: Oct 301959: Nov 51960: Nov 101961: Nov 31962: Nov 181963: Nov 261964: Nov 201965: Nov 261966: Dec 31967: Nov 31968: Nov 81969: Nov 141970: Nov 31971: Nov 191972: Oct 311974: Nov 141976: Oct 271977: Nov 91978: Nov 151979: Nov 11980: Oct 281981: Dec 11983: Nov 261985: Nov 151986: Nov 31987: Nov 111988: Nov 201989: Nov 21990: Nov 41992: Nov 41994: Nov 291995: Nov 31996: Oct 221997: Nov 101998: Dec 72000: Oct 82001: Nov 282008: Nov 152009: Nov 162010: Nov 262011: Nov 32016: Nov 302017: Dec 62018: Oct 152019: Oct 242023: Oct 30

Dots are single years. The gray line is the median, the green line the fitted trend.

Year by year

YearLast spring 32°FFirst fall 32°FLast spring 28°FFirst fall 28°F
2024Mar 9no dataFeb 18no data
2023no dataOct 30no dataOct 30
2019Apr 1Oct 24Mar 7Oct 30
2018Apr 7Oct 15Feb 23Nov 13
2017May 2Dec 6Jan 30Dec 7
2016no dataNov 30no dataDec 8
2012Mar 12no dataFeb 13no data
2011Feb 11Nov 3Feb 11Dec 2
2010Mar 21Nov 26Mar 21Nov 26
2009no dataNov 16no dataDec 2
2008no dataNov 15no dataNov 21
2001no dataNov 28no dataNov 28
2000no dataOct 8no dataNov 8
1999Mar 20no dataMar 19no data
1998Mar 20Dec 7Mar 20Dec 8
1997Apr 27Nov 10Apr 14Nov 10
1996Apr 6Oct 22Mar 29Oct 22
1995Apr 23Nov 3Mar 7Nov 28
1994Apr 6Nov 29Mar 28none
1993Mar 14no dataMar 13no data
1992Apr 21Nov 4Mar 11Nov 22
1991Mar 31no dataMar 31no data
1990Mar 27Nov 4Mar 25Nov 4
1989Apr 11Nov 2Mar 22Nov 2
1988Mar 29Nov 20Mar 18Dec 8
1987Apr 6Nov 11Mar 31Nov 26
1986Feb 13Nov 3Feb 13Nov 11
1985no dataNov 15no dataNov 20
1984Apr 5no dataMar 6no data
1983no dataNov 26no dataNov 27
1982Apr 24no dataMar 7no data
1981Mar 9Dec 1Mar 8Dec 17
1980Apr 14Oct 28Apr 14Oct 28
1979Apr 4Nov 1Mar 4Nov 22
1978Apr 18Nov 15Mar 5Dec 6
1977Mar 7Nov 9Mar 6Dec 7
1976no dataOct 27no dataNov 13
1975Mar 31no dataMar 31no data
1974no dataNov 14no dataNov 29
1973Apr 10no dataApr 9no data
1972no dataOct 31no dataNov 14
1971Apr 6Nov 19Mar 7Dec 2
1970Mar 28Nov 3Mar 28Nov 4
1969Mar 25Nov 14Mar 25Nov 28
1968Apr 4Nov 8Mar 21Nov 27
1967Mar 8Nov 3Mar 8Dec 9
1966Mar 23Dec 3Mar 23Dec 3
1965Mar 26Nov 26Mar 20Nov 26
1964Mar 9Nov 20Mar 9Nov 21
1963Mar 14Nov 26Mar 5Nov 30
1962Apr 2Nov 18Mar 15Nov 18
1961Mar 29Nov 3Feb 28Nov 6
1960Apr 2Nov 10Mar 17Nov 29
1959Apr 13Nov 5Mar 16Nov 6
1958Mar 18Oct 30Mar 18Nov 18
1957Apr 14no dataMar 24no data
1956Mar 17Nov 4Mar 13Nov 20
1955Mar 28Nov 3Mar 28Nov 8
1954Mar 15Nov 29Mar 14Dec 17
1953Apr 12Nov 20Mar 4Nov 22
1952Apr 10Nov 10Mar 23Nov 23
1951Apr 12Nov 2Mar 29Nov 2

"none" means the station recorded no freeze at that threshold in that half of the year. "no data" means more than 10% of the season's daily readings were missing. Years with no usable data are left out. See the methodology for the rules, and the ZIP lookup for 1991 to 2020 frost probabilities.