Last Frost Day

Frost history / Pavilion 2NE, NY

Pavilion 2NE, NY: frost dates by year

Last spring and first fall frost at NOAA station USC00306464, 1987 to 2016, measured from daily minimum temperatures.

Elevation 1,020 ft, 42.911, -77.981. Download the data (JSON), NOAA daily records

Summary at 32°F

Last spring frostFirst fall frost
MedianMay 11Oct 12
EarliestApr 9 (2011)Sep 25 (1989)
LatestMay 28 (2008)Oct 29 (2007)
Trend1.3 days later per decade4.3 days later per decade
Years with data1617

At 28°F (hard freeze) the median last spring date is Apr 22 and the median first fall date is Oct 28.

The trend is a straight-line fit through the years with a freeze. A positive spring trend means the last frost now comes later. Short or patchy records give noisy trends.

Chart

Last spring frost (32°F)

Mar 31Apr 15Apr 30May 15May 30Jun 141990200020101988: May 51989: May 91990: May 121991: May 51992: May 62005: May 132006: May 72007: May 182008: May 282009: May 112010: May 132011: Apr 92012: May 12013: May 142015: May 232016: May 11

First fall frost (32°F)

Sep 12Sep 27Oct 12Oct 27Nov 111990200020101987: Oct 41988: Oct 81989: Sep 251990: Oct 201991: Sep 282004: Oct 52005: Oct 202006: Oct 72007: Oct 292008: Oct 72009: Oct 122010: Oct 132011: Oct 282012: Oct 92014: Oct 122015: Oct 172016: Oct 14

Dots are single years. The gray line is the median, the green line the fitted trend.

Year by year

YearLast spring 32°FFirst fall 32°FLast spring 28°FFirst fall 28°F
2016May 11Oct 14Apr 29Nov 1
2015May 23Oct 17Apr 26Oct 18
2014no dataOct 12no dataNov 8
2013May 14no dataApr 22no data
2012May 1Oct 9Apr 29Oct 13
2011Apr 9Oct 28Apr 7Oct 28
2010May 13Oct 13Apr 23Nov 2
2009May 11Oct 12Apr 17Oct 12
2008May 28Oct 7Apr 30Oct 19
2007May 18Oct 29Apr 19Oct 29
2006May 7Oct 7Apr 29Oct 27
2005May 13Oct 20Apr 16Oct 28
2004no dataOct 5no dataNov 4
1992May 6no dataApr 16no data
1991May 5Sep 28Apr 13Sep 30
1990May 12Oct 20Apr 14Oct 20
1989May 9Sep 25Apr 29Nov 4
1988May 5Oct 8Apr 23Oct 31
1987no dataOct 4no dataOct 14

"none" means the station recorded no freeze at that threshold in that half of the year. "no data" means more than 10% of the season's daily readings were missing. Years with no usable data are left out. See the methodology for the rules, and the ZIP lookup for 1991 to 2020 frost probabilities.