Last Frost Day

Frost history / Tully Heiberg Forest, NY

Tully Heiberg Forest, NY: frost dates by year

Last spring and first fall frost at NOAA station USC00308627, 1967 to 2006, measured from daily minimum temperatures.

Elevation 1,899 ft, 42.760, -76.080. Download the data (JSON), NOAA daily records

Summary at 32°F

Last spring frostFirst fall frost
MedianMay 18Oct 3
EarliestApr 28 (1975)Sep 11 (1995)
LatestJun 11 (1972)Nov 4 (1971)
Trend0.8 days earlier per decade1.1 days earlier per decade
Years with data3635

At 28°F (hard freeze) the median last spring date is May 4 and the median first fall date is Oct 11.

The trend is a straight-line fit through the years with a freeze. A positive spring trend means the last frost now comes later. Short or patchy records give noisy trends.

Chart

Last spring frost (32°F)

Apr 15Apr 30May 15May 30Jun 14Jun 2919701980199020001967: May 311968: May 231969: May 271970: May 71971: May 151972: Jun 111973: May 181974: May 201975: Apr 281976: May 201977: May 91978: May 41979: May 171980: Jun 91981: May 191982: Apr 291983: May 281984: May 171985: May 91986: Jun 31987: May 161988: Jun 101989: May 91990: May 121991: May 41992: May 251993: May 291994: May 271995: May 91996: May 251997: May 181998: Apr 291999: May 122000: May 162001: May 312005: May 17

First fall frost (32°F)

Aug 28Sep 12Sep 27Oct 12Oct 27Nov 1119701980199020001967: Oct 71968: Oct 51969: Oct 151970: Oct 161971: Nov 41972: Oct 11973: Sep 211974: Sep 231975: Oct 31976: Sep 251977: Oct 81979: Sep 201980: Oct 61981: Sep 301982: Oct 171983: Oct 101984: Sep 161986: Sep 161987: Oct 41988: Oct 71989: Sep 251990: Sep 181991: Sep 291992: Sep 241993: Sep 201994: Oct 31995: Sep 111996: Oct 41997: Sep 241998: Oct 221999: Oct 62000: Sep 292004: Oct 52005: Oct 202006: Oct 7

Dots are single years. The gray line is the median, the green line the fitted trend.

Year by year

YearLast spring 32°FFirst fall 32°FLast spring 28°FFirst fall 28°F
2006no dataOct 7no dataOct 13
2005May 17Oct 20May 13Oct 20
2004no dataOct 5no dataNov 2
2001May 31no dataApr 29no data
2000May 16Sep 29Apr 14Sep 29
1999May 12Oct 6Apr 26Oct 7
1998Apr 29Oct 22Apr 28Nov 4
1997May 18Sep 24May 5Oct 2
1996May 25Oct 4May 14Oct 4
1995May 9Sep 11May 8Nov 4
1994May 27Oct 3May 7Oct 3
1993May 29Sep 20May 17Sep 20
1992May 25Sep 24May 25Oct 1
1991May 4Sep 29Apr 18Oct 12
1990May 12Sep 18Apr 19Oct 26
1989May 9Sep 25Apr 28Oct 10
1988Jun 10Oct 7Apr 27Oct 7
1987May 16Oct 4Apr 28Oct 12
1986Jun 3Sep 16May 4Oct 10
1985May 9no dataMay 9no data
1984May 17Sep 16May 17Oct 6
1983May 28Oct 10May 18Oct 16
1982Apr 29Oct 17Apr 28Oct 18
1981May 19Sep 30May 18Oct 17
1980Jun 9Oct 6May 10Oct 10
1979May 17Sep 20May 2Oct 26
1978May 4no dataMay 4no data
1977May 9Oct 8May 9Oct 8
1976May 20Sep 25Apr 27Oct 11
1975Apr 28Oct 3Apr 22Oct 30
1974May 20Sep 23May 20Sep 24
1973May 18Sep 21Apr 30Sep 21
1972Jun 11Oct 1Apr 28Oct 10
1971May 15Nov 4Apr 25Nov 5
1970May 7Oct 16May 7Oct 17
1969May 27Oct 15May 27Oct 22
1968May 23Oct 5May 7Oct 30
1967May 31Oct 7May 23Oct 7

"none" means the station recorded no freeze at that threshold in that half of the year. "no data" means more than 10% of the season's daily readings were missing. Years with no usable data are left out. See the methodology for the rules, and the ZIP lookup for 1991 to 2020 frost probabilities.