Last Frost Day

Frost history / Warsaw 5 E, NC

Warsaw 5 E, NC: frost dates by year

Last spring and first fall frost at NOAA station USC00319081, 1985 to 2015, measured from daily minimum temperatures.

Elevation 110 ft, 35.013, -78.004. Download the data (JSON), NOAA daily records

Summary at 32°F

Last spring frostFirst fall frost
MedianApr 4Nov 1
EarliestMar 14 (1998)Oct 10 (2000)
LatestMay 8 (1989)Nov 24 (1994)
Trend0.9 days later per decade2.1 days earlier per decade
Years with data2223

At 28°F (hard freeze) the median last spring date is Mar 17 and the median first fall date is Nov 14.

The trend is a straight-line fit through the years with a freeze. A positive spring trend means the last frost now comes later. Short or patchy records give noisy trends.

Chart

Last spring frost (32°F)

Mar 1Mar 16Mar 31Apr 15Apr 30May 151990200020101989: May 81991: Mar 161993: Mar 201995: Apr 31997: Apr 111998: Mar 141999: Mar 162000: Mar 142001: Apr 192002: Apr 72003: Apr 12004: Apr 62005: Mar 152006: Apr 102007: Apr 122008: Apr 162009: Apr 172010: Mar 172011: Apr 62012: Apr 122013: Mar 292015: Apr 1

First fall frost (32°F)

Sep 27Oct 12Oct 27Nov 11Nov 26Dec 111990200020101985: Nov 91986: Oct 201989: Oct 211993: Nov 21994: Nov 241995: Nov 51997: Nov 171998: Oct 231999: Nov 42000: Oct 102002: Nov 192003: Nov 142004: Nov 102005: Oct 302006: Oct 252007: Oct 302008: Oct 202009: Oct 192010: Oct 232011: Nov 22012: Nov 12013: Oct 252014: Nov 2

Dots are single years. The gray line is the median, the green line the fitted trend.

Year by year

YearLast spring 32°FFirst fall 32°FLast spring 28°FFirst fall 28°F
2015Apr 1no dataMar 28no data
2014no dataNov 2no dataNov 2
2013Mar 29Oct 25Mar 29Oct 25
2012Apr 12Nov 1Mar 10Nov 8
2011Apr 6Nov 2Mar 29Nov 11
2010Mar 17Oct 23Mar 6Nov 18
2009Apr 17Oct 19Mar 22Nov 6
2008Apr 16Oct 20Mar 10Oct 30
2007Apr 12Oct 30Apr 12Nov 7
2006Apr 10Oct 25Mar 8Nov 4
2005Mar 15Oct 30Mar 9Nov 19
2004Apr 6Nov 10Mar 24Nov 15
2003Apr 1Nov 14Feb 19Nov 30
2002Apr 7Nov 19Mar 23Nov 28
2001Apr 19no dataApr 19no data
2000Mar 14Oct 10Feb 22Nov 21
1999Mar 16Nov 4Mar 16Nov 18
1998Mar 14Oct 23Mar 13Nov 8
1997Apr 11Nov 17Mar 17Nov 17
1995Apr 3Nov 5Mar 11Nov 5
1994no dataNov 24no dataNov 24
1993Mar 20Nov 2Mar 19Nov 2
1991Mar 16no dataMar 9no data
1989May 8Oct 21Apr 12Nov 17
1986no dataOct 20no dataNov 14
1985no dataNov 9no dataDec 3

"none" means the station recorded no freeze at that threshold in that half of the year. "no data" means more than 10% of the season's daily readings were missing. Years with no usable data are left out. See the methodology for the rules, and the ZIP lookup for 1991 to 2020 frost probabilities.