Last Frost Day

Frost history / Willard 4 Sw, NC

Willard 4 Sw, NC: frost dates by year

Last spring and first fall frost at NOAA station USC00319423, 1951 to 2011, measured from daily minimum temperatures.

Elevation 55 ft, 34.661, -78.045. Download the data (JSON), NOAA daily records

Summary at 32°F

Last spring frostFirst fall frost
MedianApr 2Nov 4
EarliestMar 7 (2010)Oct 13 (1988)
LatestMay 2 (1963)Dec 3 (1985)
Trend1.9 days earlier per decade1.6 days later per decade
Years with data5858

At 28°F (hard freeze) the median last spring date is Mar 19 and the median first fall date is Nov 15.

The trend is a straight-line fit through the years with a freeze. A positive spring trend means the last frost now comes later. Short or patchy records give noisy trends.

Chart

Last spring frost (32°F)

Mar 1Mar 16Mar 31Apr 15Apr 30May 151960197019801990200020101951: Mar 281952: Apr 171954: Mar 221955: Mar 311956: Apr 101957: Apr 161958: Mar 231959: Mar 291960: Apr 111961: Apr 211962: Apr 161963: May 21964: Apr 21965: Mar 221966: Apr 111967: Mar 231968: Mar 251969: Mar 281970: Mar 171971: Apr 41972: Apr 101973: Apr 151974: Apr 101975: Mar 101976: Apr 131977: Apr 101978: Mar 191979: Mar 171980: Mar 231981: Mar 251982: Apr 81983: Apr 211984: Apr 21985: Apr 111986: Apr 111987: Apr 51988: Apr 201989: Apr 121990: Apr 91991: Mar 161993: Mar 201994: Mar 171995: Apr 31996: Apr 101997: Apr 111998: Mar 141999: Mar 162000: Mar 142002: Mar 232003: Mar 312004: Apr 62005: Mar 152006: Mar 272007: Apr 102008: Mar 212009: Apr 82010: Mar 72011: Apr 3

First fall frost (32°F)

Sep 27Oct 12Oct 27Nov 11Nov 26Dec 111960197019801990200020101952: Oct 211953: Nov 81954: Oct 231955: Nov 51956: Nov 101957: Oct 281958: Nov 301959: Nov 101960: Oct 251961: Oct 271962: Oct 251963: Oct 311964: Oct 251965: Oct 251966: Nov 41967: Oct 271968: Oct 271969: Oct 241970: Oct 181971: Nov 81972: Oct 201973: Oct 181974: Oct 201975: Nov 151976: Oct 221977: Nov 131978: Nov 261979: Nov 151980: Nov 121981: Oct 201982: Oct 181983: Nov 51984: Nov 81985: Dec 31986: Nov 141987: Oct 221988: Oct 131989: Oct 211990: Oct 301991: Nov 61993: Nov 21994: Nov 241995: Nov 51996: Nov 31997: Nov 171998: Nov 71999: Nov 172000: Nov 152001: Oct 272002: Nov 192003: Nov 302004: Nov 102006: Oct 252007: Nov 72008: Oct 282009: Nov 62010: Nov 72011: Oct 29

Dots are single years. The gray line is the median, the green line the fitted trend.

Year by year

YearLast spring 32°FFirst fall 32°FLast spring 28°FFirst fall 28°F
2011Apr 3Oct 29Feb 13Nov 11
2010Mar 7Nov 7Mar 5Dec 1
2009Apr 8Nov 6Mar 5Dec 20
2008Mar 21Oct 28Feb 28Nov 19
2007Apr 10Nov 7Apr 8Nov 17
2006Mar 27Oct 25Mar 8Nov 4
2005Mar 15no dataMar 9no data
2004Apr 6Nov 10Mar 24Dec 14
2003Mar 31Nov 30Feb 19Dec 3
2002Mar 23Nov 19Mar 23Nov 29
2001no dataOct 27no dataOct 29
2000Mar 14Nov 15Feb 6Nov 22
1999Mar 16Nov 17Mar 8Dec 1
1998Mar 14Nov 7Mar 13Nov 7
1997Apr 11Nov 17Feb 18Nov 17
1996Apr 10Nov 3Mar 23Nov 11
1995Apr 3Nov 5Mar 11Nov 16
1994Mar 17Nov 24Feb 28none
1993Mar 20Nov 2Mar 19Dec 12
1991Mar 16Nov 6Feb 27Nov 27
1990Apr 9Oct 30Mar 21Nov 15
1989Apr 12Oct 21Apr 12Nov 24
1988Apr 20Oct 13Mar 18Oct 14
1987Apr 5Oct 22Mar 18Nov 7
1986Apr 11Nov 14Mar 23Nov 14
1985Apr 11Dec 3Apr 10Dec 3
1984Apr 2Nov 8Mar 12Nov 13
1983Apr 21Nov 5Apr 20Nov 14
1982Apr 8Oct 18Apr 7Nov 16
1981Mar 25Oct 20Mar 21Oct 20
1980Mar 23Nov 12Mar 15Nov 12
1979Mar 17Nov 15Mar 17Nov 15
1978Mar 19Nov 26Mar 6Dec 10
1977Apr 10Nov 13Mar 24Nov 13
1976Apr 13Oct 22Mar 18Oct 29
1975Mar 10Nov 15Mar 10Nov 15
1974Apr 10Oct 20Mar 15Oct 22
1973Apr 15Oct 18Mar 24Nov 7
1972Apr 10Oct 20Apr 10Nov 23
1971Apr 4Nov 8Mar 25Nov 8
1970Mar 17Oct 18Mar 17Nov 24
1969Mar 28Oct 24Mar 28Nov 15
1968Mar 25Oct 27Mar 24Nov 14
1967Mar 23Oct 27Mar 20Nov 6
1966Apr 11Nov 4Mar 29Nov 4
1965Mar 22Oct 25Mar 22Oct 30
1964Apr 2Oct 25Mar 31Nov 23
1963May 2Oct 31Mar 23Nov 4
1962Apr 16Oct 25Mar 19Oct 26
1961Apr 21Oct 27Mar 11Nov 22
1960Apr 11Oct 25Mar 23Nov 8
1959Mar 29Nov 10Mar 19Nov 18
1958Mar 23Nov 30Feb 23Dec 1
1957Apr 16Oct 28Feb 22Oct 29
1956Apr 10Nov 10Mar 25Nov 23
1955Mar 31Nov 5Mar 31Nov 6
1954Mar 22Oct 23Mar 22Nov 1
1953no dataNov 8no dataNov 26
1952Apr 17Oct 21Mar 16Oct 22
1951Mar 28no dataMar 28no data

"none" means the station recorded no freeze at that threshold in that half of the year. "no data" means more than 10% of the season's daily readings were missing. Years with no usable data are left out. See the methodology for the rules, and the ZIP lookup for 1991 to 2020 frost probabilities.