Last Frost Day

Frost history / Manchester #2, TN

Manchester #2, TN: frost dates by year

Last spring and first fall frost at NOAA station USC00405595, 2000 to 2020, measured from daily minimum temperatures.

Elevation 1,070 ft, 35.516, -86.088. Download the data (JSON), NOAA daily records

Summary at 32°F

Last spring frostFirst fall frost
MedianApr 13Oct 27
EarliestMar 20 (2017)Oct 7 (2000)
LatestMay 10 (2020)Nov 14 (2003)
Trend4.1 days later per decade2.1 days later per decade
Years with data1920

At 28°F (hard freeze) the median last spring date is Mar 28 and the median first fall date is Nov 1.

The trend is a straight-line fit through the years with a freeze. A positive spring trend means the last frost now comes later. Short or patchy records give noisy trends.

Chart

Last spring frost (32°F)

Mar 1Mar 16Mar 31Apr 15Apr 30May 152000201020202001: Apr 192002: Apr 62003: Mar 312004: Apr 162005: Apr 262006: Apr 62007: Apr 112008: Apr 172009: Apr 82010: Mar 282011: Mar 262012: Apr 132013: Apr 212014: Apr 172016: Apr 102017: Mar 202018: Apr 182019: Apr 212020: May 10

First fall frost (32°F)

Sep 27Oct 12Oct 27Nov 11Nov 262000201020202000: Oct 72001: Oct 162002: Nov 12003: Nov 142004: Nov 62005: Oct 242006: Oct 132007: Oct 302008: Oct 292009: Oct 182010: Oct 72011: Oct 222012: Nov 12013: Oct 252014: Nov 22016: Nov 102017: Oct 302018: Oct 212019: Nov 12020: Oct 17

Dots are single years. The gray line is the median, the green line the fitted trend.

Year by year

YearLast spring 32°FFirst fall 32°FLast spring 28°FFirst fall 28°F
2020May 10Oct 17Apr 16Nov 2
2019Apr 21Nov 1Apr 2Nov 1
2018Apr 18Oct 21Apr 18Nov 10
2017Mar 20Oct 30Mar 18Oct 30
2016Apr 10Nov 10Mar 6Nov 11
2014Apr 17Nov 2Apr 16Nov 2
2013Apr 21Oct 25Mar 29Oct 25
2012Apr 13Nov 1Mar 7Nov 1
2011Mar 26Oct 22Mar 26Oct 30
2010Mar 28Oct 7Mar 7Oct 31
2009Apr 8Oct 18Mar 22Nov 27
2008Apr 17Oct 29Mar 26Oct 29
2007Apr 11Oct 30Apr 9Nov 7
2006Apr 6Oct 13Mar 28Oct 13
2005Apr 26Oct 24Mar 19Oct 24
2004Apr 16Nov 6Mar 24Nov 15
2003Mar 31Nov 14Mar 31Nov 14
2002Apr 6Nov 1Mar 28Nov 1
2001Apr 19Oct 16Apr 18Oct 27
2000no dataOct 7no dataOct 8

"none" means the station recorded no freeze at that threshold in that half of the year. "no data" means more than 10% of the season's daily readings were missing. Years with no usable data are left out. See the methodology for the rules, and the ZIP lookup for 1991 to 2020 frost probabilities.