Last Frost Day

Frost history / Winchester 5SE, TN

Winchester 5SE, TN: frost dates by year

Last spring and first fall frost at NOAA station USC00409800, 1986 to 2022, measured from daily minimum temperatures.

Elevation 941 ft, 35.161, -86.031. Download the data (JSON), NOAA daily records

Summary at 32°F

Last spring frostFirst fall frost
MedianApr 12Oct 28
EarliestMar 10 (1995)Oct 7 (1991)
LatestMay 9 (2020)Dec 1 (2020)
Trend0.6 days earlier per decade4.1 days later per decade
Years with data3435

At 28°F (hard freeze) the median last spring date is Mar 26 and the median first fall date is Nov 6.

The trend is a straight-line fit through the years with a freeze. A positive spring trend means the last frost now comes later. Short or patchy records give noisy trends.

Chart

Last spring frost (32°F)

Mar 1Mar 16Mar 31Apr 15Apr 30May 1519902000201020201986: Apr 241987: Apr 61988: Apr 201989: Apr 131990: Apr 131991: Mar 311993: Apr 171994: Apr 11995: Mar 101996: Apr 111997: Apr 181998: Apr 111999: Mar 282000: Apr 92001: Apr 192003: Mar 312004: Apr 152005: Apr 252006: Apr 92007: Apr 102008: Apr 162009: Apr 82010: Mar 272011: May 62012: Apr 122013: Apr 202014: Apr 162016: Mar 292017: Mar 182018: Apr 172019: Mar 172020: May 92021: Apr 222022: Mar 15

First fall frost (32°F)

Sep 27Oct 12Oct 27Nov 11Nov 26Dec 1119902000201020201986: Nov 131987: Oct 221988: Oct 131989: Oct 201990: Oct 271991: Oct 71993: Oct 281994: Oct 271995: Nov 41996: Oct 191997: Oct 231998: Nov 61999: Oct 242000: Oct 82001: Oct 72002: Nov 22003: Nov 142004: Nov 62005: Oct 242006: Oct 132007: Nov 32008: Oct 282009: Oct 182010: Oct 302011: Oct 222012: Oct 312013: Oct 252014: Nov 12016: Nov 102017: Oct 302018: Nov 102019: Nov 12020: Dec 12021: Nov 142022: Oct 18

Dots are single years. The gray line is the median, the green line the fitted trend.

Year by year

YearLast spring 32°FFirst fall 32°FLast spring 28°FFirst fall 28°F
2022Mar 15Oct 18Mar 14Oct 18
2021Apr 22Nov 14Apr 2Nov 23
2020May 9Dec 1Mar 1Dec 1
2019Mar 17Nov 1Mar 7Nov 9
2018Apr 17Nov 10Apr 8Nov 11
2017Mar 18Oct 30Mar 17Nov 20
2016Mar 29Nov 10Mar 21Nov 10
2014Apr 16Nov 1Apr 16Nov 2
2013Apr 20Oct 25Mar 28Oct 25
2012Apr 12Oct 31Mar 10Oct 31
2011May 6Oct 22Mar 25Nov 11
2010Mar 27Oct 30Mar 7Nov 6
2009Apr 8Oct 18Apr 8Nov 27
2008Apr 16Oct 28Mar 25Oct 29
2007Apr 10Nov 3Apr 8Nov 7
2006Apr 9Oct 13Mar 27Oct 15
2005Apr 25Oct 24Mar 18Oct 28
2004Apr 15Nov 6Apr 6Dec 2
2003Mar 31Nov 14Mar 31Nov 14
2002no dataNov 2no dataNov 2
2001Apr 19Oct 7Mar 28Oct 28
2000Apr 9Oct 8Apr 9Oct 8
1999Mar 28Oct 24Mar 27Oct 24
1998Apr 11Nov 6Mar 13Nov 6
1997Apr 18Oct 23Mar 16Nov 24
1996Apr 11Oct 19Apr 10Nov 3
1995Mar 10Nov 4Mar 10Nov 4
1994Apr 1Oct 27Apr 1Nov 24
1993Apr 17Oct 28Mar 18Oct 28
1991Mar 31Oct 7Mar 9Nov 4
1990Apr 13Oct 27Apr 8Nov 30
1989Apr 13Oct 20Apr 11Nov 3
1988Apr 20Oct 13Mar 19Nov 29
1987Apr 6Oct 22Apr 6Oct 22
1986Apr 24Nov 13Mar 23Nov 13

"none" means the station recorded no freeze at that threshold in that half of the year. "no data" means more than 10% of the season's daily readings were missing. Years with no usable data are left out. See the methodology for the rules, and the ZIP lookup for 1991 to 2020 frost probabilities.