Last Frost Day

Frost history / Bay City Wtr Wks, TX

Bay City Wtr Wks, TX: frost dates by year

Last spring and first fall frost at NOAA station USC00410569, 1951 to 2025, measured from daily minimum temperatures.

Elevation 52 ft, 28.980, -95.975. Download the data (JSON), NOAA daily records

Summary at 32°F

Last spring frostFirst fall frost
MedianFeb 20Dec 6
EarliestJan 3 (2001)Oct 30 (1993)
LatestMar 28 (1955)Dec 30 (1954)
Trend1.1 days earlier per decadelittle change (less than half a day per decade)
Years with data65, 7 with no freeze58, 8 with no freeze

At 28°F (hard freeze) the median last spring date is Feb 8 and the median first fall date is Dec 13.

The trend is a straight-line fit through the years with a freeze. A positive spring trend means the last frost now comes later. Short or patchy records give noisy trends.

Chart

Last spring frost (32°F)

Dec 16Dec 31Jan 15Jan 30Feb 14Mar 1Mar 16Mar 31Apr 1519601970198019902000201020201951: Mar 161953: Jan 191954: Feb 81955: Mar 281956: Feb 51957: Jan 191958: Feb 161959: Jan 231960: Mar 51961: Feb 81962: Mar 21963: Feb 141964: Feb 231965: Mar 211966: Feb 51967: Feb 231968: Mar 21969: Feb 191970: Feb 41971: Mar 41972: Feb 51974: Feb 271975: Feb 251976: Feb 221977: Jan 301978: Mar 51979: Feb 191980: Mar 31981: Feb 131982: Mar 71984: Feb 281986: Mar 11989: Mar 71992: Jan 191993: Mar 131994: Feb 101997: Jan 281999: Feb 122000: Jan 42001: Jan 32002: Mar 32003: Feb 162006: Feb 122007: Mar 52008: Feb 22009: Mar 22010: Feb 252011: Feb 132012: Jan 142013: Mar 132015: Jan 152017: Jan 82018: Jan 192019: Mar 62020: Feb 282021: Feb 222024: Mar 102025: Feb 21

First fall frost (32°F)

Oct 12Oct 27Nov 11Nov 26Dec 11Dec 26Jan 1019601970198019902000201020201951: Nov 31953: Dec 151954: Dec 301955: Nov 291956: Nov 271957: Dec 11958: Nov 291959: Nov 71960: Dec 211961: Dec 131962: Dec 121963: Dec 151964: Dec 61966: Dec 111967: Dec 231968: Dec 241969: Nov 151970: Nov 161972: Nov 261973: Dec 81974: Dec 11976: Nov 151977: Dec 221978: Dec 91979: Dec 11981: Dec 181983: Dec 191984: Dec 71985: Dec 21989: Dec 81990: Dec 41991: Nov 231992: Nov 261993: Oct 301995: Dec 91998: Dec 252000: Dec 292004: Dec 242006: Dec 12008: Dec 112009: Dec 32010: Nov 272011: Nov 282012: Dec 112015: Nov 222017: Dec 82019: Nov 132020: Dec 12023: Dec 112024: Dec 11

Dots are single years. The gray line is the median, the green line the fitted trend.

Year by year

YearLast spring 32°FFirst fall 32°FLast spring 28°FFirst fall 28°F
2025Feb 21no dataFeb 21no data
2024Mar 10Dec 11Jan 20none
2023no dataDec 11no datanone
2021Feb 22noneFeb 20none
2020Feb 28Dec 1noneDec 1
2019Mar 6Nov 13noneDec 19
2018Jan 19no dataJan 18no data
2017Jan 8Dec 8Jan 8Dec 9
2015Jan 15Nov 22nonenone
2013Mar 13no datanoneno data
2012Jan 14Dec 11nonenone
2011Feb 13Nov 28Feb 12Dec 7
2010Feb 25Nov 27Feb 16Dec 26
2009Mar 2Dec 3noneDec 5
2008Feb 2Dec 11Jan 3none
2007Mar 5no dataFeb 16no data
2006Feb 12Dec 1nonenone
2005noneno datanoneno data
2004noneDec 24noneDec 25
2003Feb 16nonenonenone
2002Mar 3noneMar 3none
2001Jan 3nonenonenone
2000Jan 4Dec 29nonenone
1999Feb 12noneJan 9none
1998no dataDec 25no datanone
1997Jan 28no datanoneno data
1995noneDec 9noneDec 9
1994Feb 10noneFeb 9none
1993Mar 13Oct 30noneNov 26
1992Jan 19Nov 26noneNov 27
1991noneNov 23nonenone
1990noneDec 4noneDec 21
1989Mar 7Dec 8Mar 6Dec 12
1988no datanoneno datanone
1986Mar 1no datanoneno data
1985no dataDec 2no dataDec 14
1984Feb 28Dec 7Jan 21none
1983noneDec 19noneDec 22
1982Mar 7no dataFeb 7no data
1981Feb 13Dec 18Feb 12none
1980Mar 3no dataMar 3no data
1979Feb 19Dec 1Feb 10Dec 18
1978Mar 5Dec 9Jan 21Dec 10
1977Jan 30Dec 22Jan 19Dec 22
1976Feb 22Nov 15Jan 26Nov 29
1975Feb 25no dataFeb 8no data
1974Feb 27Dec 1Feb 26Dec 1
1973no dataDec 8no dataDec 20
1972Feb 5Nov 26Feb 3Dec 16
1971Mar 4no dataFeb 9no data
1970Feb 4Nov 16Feb 3none
1969Feb 19Nov 15Jan 6none
1968Mar 2Dec 24Jan 15none
1967Feb 23Dec 23Feb 9none
1966Feb 5Dec 11Jan 31Dec 11
1965Mar 21noneFeb 25none
1964Feb 23Dec 6Feb 22none
1963Feb 14Dec 15Feb 13Dec 23
1962Mar 2Dec 12Jan 13Dec 12
1961Feb 8Dec 13Jan 30none
1960Mar 5Dec 21Feb 26none
1959Jan 23Nov 7Jan 23Nov 18
1958Feb 16Nov 29Feb 14Dec 16
1957Jan 19Dec 1Jan 18Dec 12
1956Feb 5Nov 27nonenone
1955Mar 28Nov 29Feb 13Dec 16
1954Feb 8Dec 30Jan 23none
1953Jan 19Dec 15Jan 17Dec 23
1952noneno datanoneno data
1951Mar 16Nov 3Feb 16Dec 16

"none" means the station recorded no freeze at that threshold in that half of the year. "no data" means more than 10% of the season's daily readings were missing. Years with no usable data are left out. See the methodology for the rules, and the ZIP lookup for 1991 to 2020 frost probabilities.