Last Frost Day

Frost history / Karnes City 2N, TX

Karnes City 2N, TX: frost dates by year

Last spring and first fall frost at NOAA station USC00414696, 1977 to 2006, measured from daily minimum temperatures.

Elevation 450 ft, 28.907, -97.876. Download the data (JSON), NOAA daily records

Summary at 32°F

Last spring frostFirst fall frost
MedianFeb 27Dec 7
EarliestJan 11 (1999)Oct 31 (1993)
LatestMar 31 (1987)Dec 22 (1998)
Trend5.4 days earlier per decade1.5 days later per decade
Years with data17, 2 with no freeze20

At 28°F (hard freeze) the median last spring date is Feb 12 and the median first fall date is Dec 14.

The trend is a straight-line fit through the years with a freeze. A positive spring trend means the last frost now comes later. Short or patchy records give noisy trends.

Chart

Last spring frost (32°F)

Dec 31Jan 15Jan 30Feb 14Mar 1Mar 16Mar 31Apr 151980199020001978: Mar 91979: Feb 191980: Mar 31981: Feb 121984: Feb 281986: Feb 121987: Mar 311988: Mar 181994: Feb 111996: Mar 101999: Jan 112000: Jan 312002: Mar 52003: Feb 272006: Feb 20

First fall frost (32°F)

Oct 12Oct 27Nov 11Nov 26Dec 11Dec 26Jan 101980199020001977: Dec 221978: Dec 91979: Nov 141980: Nov 191981: Dec 51983: Dec 71984: Nov 281985: Dec 131987: Dec 141989: Dec 111990: Dec 31991: Nov 81993: Oct 311995: Dec 101996: Dec 181997: Dec 131998: Dec 221999: Dec 72002: Dec 62003: Nov 30

Dots are single years. The gray line is the median, the green line the fitted trend.

Year by year

YearLast spring 32°FFirst fall 32°FLast spring 28°FFirst fall 28°F
2006Feb 20no dataFeb 11no data
2003Feb 27Nov 30Feb 26none
2002Mar 5Dec 6Mar 5none
2000Jan 31no dataJan 31no data
1999Jan 11Dec 7Jan 5none
1998noneDec 22noneDec 23
1997no dataDec 13no dataDec 13
1996Mar 10Dec 18Mar 10Dec 19
1995no dataDec 10no dataDec 10
1994Feb 11no dataFeb 10no data
1993no dataOct 31no dataNov 27
1991no dataNov 8no datanone
1990noneDec 3noneDec 4
1989no dataDec 11no dataDec 12
1988Mar 18no dataFeb 12no data
1987Mar 31Dec 14noneDec 14
1986Feb 12no dataFeb 12no data
1985no dataDec 13no dataDec 15
1984Feb 28Nov 28Jan 21Dec 7
1983no dataDec 7no dataDec 19
1981Feb 12Dec 5Feb 12Dec 18
1980Mar 3Nov 19Mar 3Dec 25
1979Feb 19Nov 14Feb 10Nov 30
1978Mar 9Dec 9Feb 19Dec 9
1977no dataDec 22no dataDec 22

"none" means the station recorded no freeze at that threshold in that half of the year. "no data" means more than 10% of the season's daily readings were missing. Years with no usable data are left out. See the methodology for the rules, and the ZIP lookup for 1991 to 2020 frost probabilities.