Last Frost Day

Frost history / Navarro Mills Dam, TX

Navarro Mills Dam, TX: frost dates by year

Last spring and first fall frost at NOAA station USC00416210, 1963 to 2017, measured from daily minimum temperatures.

Elevation 454 ft, 31.961, -96.688. Download the data (JSON), NOAA daily records

Summary at 32°F

Last spring frostFirst fall frost
MedianMar 17Nov 15
EarliestJan 28 (2017)Oct 20 (1966)
LatestApr 13 (1997)Dec 8 (2017)
Trend1.5 days earlier per decadelittle change (less than half a day per decade)
Years with data5148, 1 with no freeze

At 28°F (hard freeze) the median last spring date is Mar 4 and the median first fall date is Nov 29.

The trend is a straight-line fit through the years with a freeze. A positive spring trend means the last frost now comes later. Short or patchy records give noisy trends.

Chart

Last spring frost (32°F)

Jan 15Jan 30Feb 14Mar 1Mar 16Mar 31Apr 15Apr 30197019801990200020101963: Mar 61964: Mar 271965: Mar 271966: Mar 241967: Mar 91968: Mar 231969: Mar 141970: Mar 221971: Mar 81972: Mar 31973: Apr 101974: Mar 251975: Apr 31976: Feb 231977: Feb 281978: Mar 101979: Mar 51980: Mar 61981: Mar 191982: Mar 71983: Mar 221984: Mar 71985: Feb 131986: Mar 211987: Apr 41988: Mar 191989: Apr 121990: Mar 201991: Feb 261992: Mar 231993: Mar 141994: Mar 101995: Mar 101996: Mar 271997: Apr 132001: Mar 252002: Mar 222004: Feb 272005: Mar 172006: Mar 262007: Mar 52008: Mar 92009: Mar 292010: Mar 212011: Mar 72012: Feb 132013: Mar 272014: Mar 52015: Mar 72016: Mar 212017: Jan 28

First fall frost (32°F)

Oct 12Oct 27Nov 11Nov 26Dec 11Dec 26197019801990200020101963: Nov 241964: Nov 211965: Nov 301966: Oct 201967: Nov 41968: Nov 91969: Nov 151970: Nov 41972: Nov 161973: Dec 71974: Nov 151975: Nov 131976: Nov 131977: Dec 61978: Dec 41979: Nov 231980: Oct 301981: Nov 211982: Nov 131983: Nov 241984: Nov 221985: Dec 11986: Nov 131987: Nov 111988: Nov 171989: Oct 201990: Nov 301991: Nov 11992: Nov 51993: Oct 301995: Nov 111996: Nov 42000: Nov 142001: Nov 212002: Nov 272003: Nov 242004: Dec 12005: Nov 172006: Oct 212007: Oct 272008: Oct 282009: Dec 32012: Nov 132013: Nov 132015: Nov 222016: Nov 202017: Dec 8

Dots are single years. The gray line is the median, the green line the fitted trend.

Year by year

YearLast spring 32°FFirst fall 32°FLast spring 28°FFirst fall 28°F
2017Jan 28Dec 8Jan 9Dec 8
2016Mar 21Nov 20Jan 25Dec 9
2015Mar 7Nov 22Mar 7none
2014Mar 5no dataMar 5no data
2013Mar 27Nov 13Jan 17Dec 7
2012Feb 13Nov 13Feb 13Dec 11
2011Mar 7no dataFeb 14no data
2010Mar 21no dataFeb 17no data
2009Mar 29Dec 3Mar 29Dec 5
2008Mar 9Oct 28Mar 9Dec 5
2007Mar 5Oct 27Mar 4Oct 27
2006Mar 26Oct 21Mar 26Nov 4
2005Mar 17Nov 17Jan 24Nov 17
2004Feb 27Dec 1Feb 15Dec 1
2003no dataNov 24no dataNov 24
2002Mar 22Nov 27Mar 5Dec 6
2001Mar 25Nov 21Feb 18Nov 29
2000no dataNov 14no dataDec 12
1997Apr 13no dataApr 13no data
1996Mar 27Nov 4Mar 27Nov 25
1995Mar 10Nov 11Mar 10Nov 12
1994Mar 10no dataFeb 24no data
1993Mar 14Oct 30Mar 14Oct 31
1992Mar 23Nov 5Mar 11Nov 5
1991Feb 26Nov 1Feb 16Nov 2
1990Mar 20Nov 30Feb 5Nov 30
1989Apr 12Oct 20Apr 11Nov 23
1988Mar 19Nov 17Mar 19Dec 18
1987Apr 4Nov 11Mar 31Dec 15
1986Mar 21Nov 13Feb 12Nov 13
1985Feb 13Dec 1Feb 12Dec 1
1984Mar 7Nov 22Feb 28Dec 7
1983Mar 22Nov 24Mar 11Nov 28
1982Mar 7Nov 13Mar 7Nov 15
1981Mar 19Nov 21Feb 13Dec 18
1980Mar 6Oct 30Mar 4Dec 11
1979Mar 5Nov 23Feb 19Nov 23
1978Mar 10Dec 4Mar 6Dec 8
1977Feb 28Dec 6Feb 7Dec 6
1976Feb 23Nov 13Feb 8Nov 28
1975Apr 3Nov 13Mar 15Nov 22
1974Mar 25Nov 15Feb 26Nov 30
1973Apr 10Dec 7Feb 16Dec 17
1972Mar 3Nov 16Feb 9Dec 6
1971Mar 8noneMar 5none
1970Mar 22Nov 4Feb 4Nov 4
1969Mar 14Nov 15Mar 11Nov 15
1968Mar 23Nov 9Mar 4Nov 12
1967Mar 9Nov 4Mar 9Dec 22
1966Mar 24Oct 20Mar 6Nov 2
1965Mar 27Nov 30Mar 21none
1964Mar 27Nov 21Mar 10Nov 22
1963Mar 6Nov 24Feb 23Nov 24

"none" means the station recorded no freeze at that threshold in that half of the year. "no data" means more than 10% of the season's daily readings were missing. Years with no usable data are left out. See the methodology for the rules, and the ZIP lookup for 1991 to 2020 frost probabilities.