Last Frost Day

Frost history / Sam Rayburn Dam, TX

Sam Rayburn Dam, TX: frost dates by year

Last spring and first fall frost at NOAA station USC00417936, 1968 to 2025, measured from daily minimum temperatures.

Elevation 189 ft, 31.062, -94.101. Download the data (JSON), NOAA daily records

Summary at 32°F

Last spring frostFirst fall frost
MedianMar 8Nov 15
EarliestJan 19 (2018)Oct 20 (1989)
LatestApr 22 (1993)Dec 27 (1986)
Trend4.1 days earlier per decade1.9 days later per decade
Years with data5550, 1 with no freeze

At 28°F (hard freeze) the median last spring date is Feb 25 and the median first fall date is Nov 28.

The trend is a straight-line fit through the years with a freeze. A positive spring trend means the last frost now comes later. Short or patchy records give noisy trends.

Chart

Last spring frost (32°F)

Dec 31Jan 15Jan 30Feb 14Mar 1Mar 16Mar 31Apr 15Apr 301970198019902000201020201968: Mar 241969: Mar 261970: Apr 31971: Apr 31972: Mar 31973: Apr 111974: Feb 271975: Feb 261976: Mar 171977: Mar 81978: Mar 171979: Mar 61980: Mar 41981: Mar 201982: Mar 81983: Apr 161984: Mar 81985: Feb 161986: Mar 221987: Apr 41988: Mar 201989: Apr 111990: Mar 201991: Feb 271992: Feb 271993: Apr 221994: Mar 291995: Mar 91996: Apr 71997: Feb 171998: Mar 221999: Apr 182000: Feb 72001: Mar 222002: Mar 52003: Jan 262004: Feb 82005: Jan 252006: Mar 252007: Mar 52008: Feb 192009: Mar 22010: Mar 42014: Mar 82015: Mar 72016: Mar 212017: Jan 302018: Jan 192019: Apr 32020: Feb 272021: Feb 202022: Mar 122023: Mar 202024: Feb 192025: Mar 21

First fall frost (32°F)

Oct 12Oct 27Nov 11Nov 26Dec 11Dec 26Jan 101970198019902000201020201968: Nov 121969: Nov 151970: Nov 51971: Nov 111972: Nov 161973: Dec 61974: Nov 151975: Nov 141976: Oct 211977: Nov 101978: Nov 91979: Nov 141980: Oct 311981: Nov 211982: Dec 121983: Nov 251984: Nov 121985: Dec 21986: Dec 271987: Nov 111988: Nov 231989: Oct 201990: Nov 61991: Nov 11992: Nov 61993: Oct 301994: Dec 11995: Nov 121996: Nov 91997: Nov 41998: Nov 211999: Oct 252000: Nov 152001: Nov 212002: Nov 282003: Nov 252004: Dec 152006: Nov 172007: Nov 162008: Dec 22009: Dec 52014: Nov 192015: Nov 232016: Nov 202019: Nov 132020: Dec 12022: Nov 182023: Nov 22024: Dec 12

Dots are single years. The gray line is the median, the green line the fitted trend.

Year by year

YearLast spring 32°FFirst fall 32°FLast spring 28°FFirst fall 28°F
2025Mar 21no dataFeb 22no data
2024Feb 19Dec 12Feb 19none
2023Mar 20Nov 2noneDec 11
2022Mar 12Nov 18Mar 1Dec 23
2021Feb 20no datanoneno data
2020Feb 27Dec 1noneDec 1
2019Apr 3Nov 13noneNov 13
2018Jan 19noneJan 19none
2017Jan 30no dataJan 8no data
2016Mar 21Nov 20Feb 5Dec 19
2015Mar 7Nov 23Mar 7none
2014Mar 8Nov 19Mar 4Nov 19
2010Mar 4no dataMar 4no data
2009Mar 2Dec 5Feb 3Dec 5
2008Feb 19Dec 2Feb 1Dec 2
2007Mar 5Nov 16Mar 5Dec 17
2006Mar 25Nov 17Feb 8Nov 21
2005Jan 25no dataJan 24no data
2004Feb 8Dec 15Jan 29Dec 15
2003Jan 26Nov 25Jan 25Nov 25
2002Mar 5Nov 28Mar 5none
2001Mar 22Nov 21Feb 5Nov 21
2000Feb 7Nov 15Feb 7Dec 20
1999Apr 18Oct 25Apr 18Nov 3
1998Mar 22Nov 21Mar 22Dec 12
1997Feb 17Nov 4Feb 16Nov 17
1996Apr 7Nov 9Apr 7Nov 27
1995Mar 9Nov 12Jan 31Nov 12
1994Mar 29Dec 1Feb 15Dec 1
1993Apr 22Oct 30Mar 15Oct 31
1992Feb 27Nov 6Feb 8Nov 6
1991Feb 27Nov 1Feb 9Nov 4
1990Mar 20Nov 6Jan 13Nov 30
1989Apr 11Oct 20Mar 10Dec 4
1988Mar 20Nov 23Mar 19Nov 23
1987Apr 4Nov 11Mar 31Nov 11
1986Mar 22Dec 27Mar 1none
1985Feb 16Dec 2Feb 16Dec 2
1984Mar 8Nov 12Mar 7Nov 23
1983Apr 16Nov 25Mar 12Nov 29
1982Mar 8Dec 12Feb 10Dec 13
1981Mar 20Nov 21Feb 13Nov 21
1980Mar 4Oct 31Mar 3Nov 28
1979Mar 6Nov 14Mar 5Nov 14
1978Mar 17Nov 9Mar 10Dec 9
1977Mar 8Nov 10Feb 28Dec 7
1976Mar 17Oct 21Feb 23Nov 29
1975Feb 26Nov 14Feb 25Nov 23
1974Feb 27Nov 15Feb 26Dec 3
1973Apr 11Dec 6Feb 12Dec 8
1972Mar 3Nov 16Feb 9Dec 1
1971Apr 3Nov 11Mar 8none
1970Apr 3Nov 5Mar 14Nov 16
1969Mar 26Nov 15Mar 4Nov 15
1968Mar 24Nov 12Mar 4Nov 12

"none" means the station recorded no freeze at that threshold in that half of the year. "no data" means more than 10% of the season's daily readings were missing. Years with no usable data are left out. See the methodology for the rules, and the ZIP lookup for 1991 to 2020 frost probabilities.