Last Frost Day

Frost history / Front Royal, VA

Front Royal, VA: frost dates by year

Last spring and first fall frost at NOAA station USC00443229, 1996 to 2025, measured from daily minimum temperatures.

Elevation 930 ft, 38.904, -78.182. Download the data (JSON), NOAA daily records

Summary at 32°F

Last spring frostFirst fall frost
MedianApr 13Oct 28
EarliestMar 26 (1999)Oct 2 (2003)
LatestMay 22 (2002)Nov 19 (2020)
Trend1.6 days later per decade6.7 days later per decade
Years with data2726

At 28°F (hard freeze) the median last spring date is Mar 31 and the median first fall date is Nov 6.

The trend is a straight-line fit through the years with a freeze. A positive spring trend means the last frost now comes later. Short or patchy records give noisy trends.

Chart

Last spring frost (32°F)

Mar 16Mar 31Apr 15Apr 30May 15May 302000201020201996: May 141997: Apr 201998: Apr 121999: Mar 262000: Apr 132001: Apr 262002: May 222003: Mar 312004: Apr 162005: Apr 162006: Apr 102007: Apr 102008: Apr 152009: Apr 82010: Mar 282011: Apr 12012: Mar 282013: Apr 72014: Apr 182015: Apr 22016: Apr 112020: May 102021: Apr 242022: May 102023: May 32024: Apr 232025: Apr 10

First fall frost (32°F)

Sep 27Oct 12Oct 27Nov 11Nov 262000201020201996: Oct 41997: Oct 221998: Nov 41999: Oct 212000: Oct 292001: Oct 72002: Oct 312003: Oct 22004: Nov 52005: Oct 282006: Oct 142007: Oct 282008: Oct 192009: Oct 192010: Nov 22011: Oct 292012: Oct 142013: Oct 262014: Nov 82015: Oct 192016: Nov 132019: Nov 22020: Nov 192022: Oct 222023: Nov 22025: Nov 7

Dots are single years. The gray line is the median, the green line the fitted trend.

Year by year

YearLast spring 32°FFirst fall 32°FLast spring 28°FFirst fall 28°F
2025Apr 10Nov 7Apr 10Nov 12
2024Apr 23no dataMar 25no data
2023May 3Nov 2May 2Nov 2
2022May 10Oct 22Apr 20Nov 16
2021Apr 24no dataApr 24no data
2020May 10Nov 19Mar 9Dec 8
2019no dataNov 2no dataNov 3
2016Apr 11Nov 13Apr 11Nov 13
2015Apr 2Oct 19Mar 30Oct 20
2014Apr 18Nov 8Apr 18Nov 9
2013Apr 7Oct 26Apr 4Nov 5
2012Mar 28Oct 14Mar 12Nov 6
2011Apr 1Oct 29Mar 30Oct 31
2010Mar 28Nov 2Mar 28Nov 29
2009Apr 8Oct 19Mar 25Dec 6
2008Apr 15Oct 19Mar 25Nov 10
2007Apr 10Oct 28Apr 10Nov 7
2006Apr 10Oct 14Mar 22Nov 3
2005Apr 16Oct 28Mar 22Oct 28
2004Apr 16Nov 5Apr 6Nov 13
2003Mar 31Oct 2Mar 31Nov 8
2002May 22Oct 31Apr 23Nov 27
2001Apr 26Oct 7Mar 28Oct 28
2000Apr 13Oct 29Apr 13Nov 15
1999Mar 26Oct 21Mar 26Oct 21
1998Apr 12Nov 4Mar 25Nov 4
1997Apr 20Oct 22Apr 10Oct 22
1996May 14Oct 4Apr 8Nov 3

"none" means the station recorded no freeze at that threshold in that half of the year. "no data" means more than 10% of the season's daily readings were missing. Years with no usable data are left out. See the methodology for the rules, and the ZIP lookup for 1991 to 2020 frost probabilities.