Last Frost Day

Frost history / Lynchburg #2, VA

Lynchburg #2, VA: frost dates by year

Last spring and first fall frost at NOAA station USC00445117, 1998 to 2012, measured from daily minimum temperatures.

Elevation 736 ft, 37.382, -79.233. Download the data (JSON), NOAA daily records

Summary at 32°F

Last spring frostFirst fall frost
MedianApr 16Oct 24
EarliestMar 28 (2010)Oct 3 (2003)
LatestMay 23 (2002)Nov 6 (2004)
Trend10.2 days earlier per decade11.0 days later per decade
Years with data1414

At 28°F (hard freeze) the median last spring date is Mar 31 and the median first fall date is Nov 4.

The trend is a straight-line fit through the years with a freeze. A positive spring trend means the last frost now comes later. Short or patchy records give noisy trends.

Chart

Last spring frost (32°F)

Mar 16Mar 31Apr 15Apr 30May 15May 30200020101999: Apr 262000: Apr 22001: Apr 282002: May 232003: Apr 12004: Apr 172005: May 32006: Apr 112007: Apr 142008: Apr 182009: Apr 132010: Mar 282011: Apr 72012: Apr 25

First fall frost (32°F)

Sep 27Oct 12Oct 27Nov 11200020101998: Oct 231999: Oct 252000: Oct 92001: Oct 72002: Oct 192003: Oct 32004: Nov 62005: Oct 272006: Oct 132007: Oct 292009: Oct 192010: Oct 302011: Oct 302012: Nov 3

Dots are single years. The gray line is the median, the green line the fitted trend.

Year by year

YearLast spring 32°FFirst fall 32°FLast spring 28°FFirst fall 28°F
2012Apr 25Nov 3Mar 12Nov 3
2011Apr 7Oct 30Mar 30Oct 30
2010Mar 28Oct 30Mar 28Nov 7
2009Apr 13Oct 19Mar 23Nov 4
2008Apr 18no dataApr 17no data
2007Apr 14Oct 29Apr 10Nov 7
2006Apr 11Oct 13Mar 28Oct 16
2005May 3Oct 27Apr 17Oct 28
2004Apr 17Nov 6Apr 7Nov 9
2003Apr 1Oct 3Apr 1Nov 10
2002May 23Oct 19Apr 8Nov 2
2001Apr 28Oct 7Mar 29Oct 8
2000Apr 2Oct 9Mar 19Nov 6
1999Apr 26Oct 25Mar 31Nov 4
1998no dataOct 23no dataOct 23

"none" means the station recorded no freeze at that threshold in that half of the year. "no data" means more than 10% of the season's daily readings were missing. Years with no usable data are left out. See the methodology for the rules, and the ZIP lookup for 1991 to 2020 frost probabilities.