Last Frost Day

Frost history / Dunkirk Chautauqua Ap, NY

Dunkirk Chautauqua Ap, NY: frost dates by year

Last spring and first fall frost at NOAA station USW00014747, 1951 to 2024, measured from daily minimum temperatures.

Elevation 666 ft, 42.493, -79.272. Download the data (JSON), NOAA daily records

Summary at 32°F

Last spring frostFirst fall frost
MedianMay 1Oct 18
EarliestApr 16 (1952)Sep 29 (2000)
LatestMay 23 (2015)Nov 12 (2023)
Trend1.9 days later per decade1.6 days later per decade
Years with data3131

At 28°F (hard freeze) the median last spring date is Apr 22 and the median first fall date is Nov 7.

The trend is a straight-line fit through the years with a freeze. A positive spring trend means the last frost now comes later. Short or patchy records give noisy trends.

Chart

Last spring frost (32°F)

Mar 31Apr 15Apr 30May 15May 3019601970198019902000201020201951: Apr 211952: Apr 161953: Apr 291997: May 181998: Apr 291999: May 12000: Apr 282001: Apr 292002: May 212003: May 42004: May 42005: May 52006: May 72007: May 132008: May 52009: May 192010: May 112011: Apr 302012: Apr 302013: Apr 272014: Apr 242015: May 232016: Apr 272017: May 92018: Apr 302019: Apr 292020: May 132021: May 82022: Apr 302023: May 182024: Apr 26

First fall frost (32°F)

Sep 12Sep 27Oct 12Oct 27Nov 11Nov 2619601970198019902000201020201951: Oct 131952: Oct 201953: Oct 131997: Oct 181998: Oct 291999: Oct 72000: Sep 292001: Oct 82002: Oct 242003: Oct 192004: Oct 112005: Oct 272006: Oct 262007: Oct 292008: Oct 72009: Oct 122010: Oct 132011: Oct 282012: Oct 122013: Oct 292014: Oct 122015: Oct 182016: Oct 112017: Nov 72018: Oct 302019: Nov 82020: Oct 172021: Nov 52022: Oct 32023: Nov 122024: Oct 27

Dots are single years. The gray line is the median, the green line the fitted trend.

Year by year

YearLast spring 32°FFirst fall 32°FLast spring 28°FFirst fall 28°F
2024Apr 26Oct 27Mar 30Nov 13
2023May 18Nov 12Mar 30Nov 12
2022Apr 30Oct 3Apr 29Nov 19
2021May 8Nov 5Apr 3Dec 8
2020May 13Oct 17May 13Oct 31
2019Apr 29Nov 8Apr 16Nov 11
2018Apr 30Oct 30Apr 22Nov 10
2017May 9Nov 7Mar 23Nov 7
2016Apr 27Oct 11Apr 27Nov 23
2015May 23Oct 18Apr 26Nov 9
2014Apr 24Oct 12Apr 24Nov 15
2013Apr 27Oct 29Apr 8Nov 3
2012Apr 30Oct 12Apr 29Oct 13
2011Apr 30Oct 28Mar 30Oct 29
2010May 11Oct 13Mar 30Nov 1
2009May 19Oct 12Apr 16Nov 12
2008May 5Oct 7Apr 30Nov 2
2007May 13Oct 29Apr 14Nov 3
2006May 7Oct 26Apr 28Nov 21
2005May 5Oct 27May 5Nov 17
2004May 4Oct 11Apr 28Nov 12
2003May 4Oct 19Apr 24Nov 8
2002May 21Oct 24Apr 27Oct 24
2001Apr 29Oct 8Apr 29Oct 8
2000Apr 28Sep 29Apr 26Oct 30
1999May 1Oct 7Apr 25Nov 30
1998Apr 29Oct 29Apr 12Oct 31
1997May 18Oct 18Apr 21Oct 26
1953Apr 29Oct 13Apr 8Nov 5
1952Apr 16Oct 20Apr 12Oct 26
1951Apr 21Oct 13Apr 20Nov 3

"none" means the station recorded no freeze at that threshold in that half of the year. "no data" means more than 10% of the season's daily readings were missing. Years with no usable data are left out. See the methodology for the rules, and the ZIP lookup for 1991 to 2020 frost probabilities.