Last Frost Day

Frost history / Modesto City Co Ap, CA

Modesto City Co Ap, CA: frost dates by year

Last spring and first fall frost at NOAA station USW00023258, 1951 to 2024, measured from daily minimum temperatures.

Elevation 73 ft, 37.624, -120.951. Download the data (JSON) · NOAA daily records

Summary at 32°F

Last spring frostFirst fall frost
MedianFeb 10Nov 30
EarliestJan 1 (2016)Oct 14 (1966)
LatestMay 5 (1959)Dec 27 (2014)
Trend4.6 days earlier per decade0.9 days later per decade
Years with data74, 5 with no freeze71, 5 with no freeze

At 28°F (hard freeze) the median last spring date is Jan 18 and the median first fall date is Dec 10.

The trend is a straight-line fit through the years with a freeze. A positive spring trend means the last frost now comes later. Short or patchy records give noisy trends.

Chart

Last spring frost (32°F)

Dec 16Dec 31Jan 15Jan 30Feb 14Mar 1Mar 16Mar 31Apr 15Apr 30May 1519601970198019902000201020201951: Mar 111952: Jan 91953: Mar 31954: Mar 231955: Mar 171956: Mar 71957: Feb 51958: Mar 71959: May 51960: Mar 21961: Feb 191962: Mar 131963: Jan 251964: Mar 91965: Feb 161966: Mar 41967: Mar 51968: Jan 281969: Mar 91970: Jan 291971: Mar 61972: Feb 31973: Jan 281974: Feb 71975: Mar 281976: Mar 41977: Mar 141978: Jan 251979: Feb 41980: Jan 291982: Feb 111983: Jan 201984: Jan 181985: Feb 111986: Feb 91987: Feb 271988: Feb 61989: Feb 141990: Feb 151991: Jan 171992: Jan 141993: Jan 121994: Feb 11997: Jan 141999: Apr 92000: Jan 82001: Feb 152002: Feb 62003: Feb 102004: Feb 122005: Jan 302006: Jan 232007: Jan 252008: Jan 182009: Jan 112011: Feb 272012: Jan 192013: Feb 112014: Feb 52015: Jan 52016: Jan 12017: Jan 62018: Feb 242019: Feb 232020: Feb 52021: Feb 182022: Mar 62023: Feb 232024: Jan 12

First fall frost (32°F)

Sep 27Oct 12Oct 27Nov 11Nov 26Dec 11Dec 26Jan 1019601970198019902000201020201951: Dec 81952: Nov 201953: Dec 221954: Nov 301955: Nov 251956: Nov 201957: Nov 231958: Nov 171959: Nov 131960: Dec 61961: Nov 171962: Dec 251963: Dec 101964: Nov 151965: Nov 281966: Oct 141967: Dec 21968: Dec 31969: Nov 301970: Dec 241971: Dec 101972: Dec 51973: Nov 211974: Dec 231975: Nov 191976: Nov 281977: Nov 201978: Nov 141979: Dec 121980: Dec 61982: Dec 81983: Dec 211984: Nov 261985: Nov 121987: Nov 261989: Dec 121990: Dec 201992: Dec 151993: Nov 251994: Nov 231997: Dec 261998: Dec 71999: Dec 42000: Nov 122002: Dec 252003: Nov 232004: Nov 292005: Nov 282006: Nov 302007: Dec 12008: Dec 142009: Nov 192010: Nov 252011: Dec 42012: Dec 142013: Dec 42014: Dec 272015: Nov 292016: Dec 182017: Dec 72018: Nov 112019: Dec 242020: Nov 212021: Dec 112022: Nov 202023: Nov 26

Dots are single years. The gray line is the median, the green line the fitted trend.

Year by year

YearLast spring 32°FFirst fall 32°FLast spring 28°FFirst fall 28°F
2024Jan 12nonenonenone
2023Feb 23Nov 26Jan 31none
2022Mar 6Nov 20nonenone
2021Feb 18Dec 11Jan 26none
2020Feb 5Nov 21nonenone
2019Feb 23Dec 24nonenone
2018Feb 24Nov 11Feb 24none
2017Jan 6Dec 7nonenone
2016Jan 1Dec 18nonenone
2015Jan 5Nov 29Jan 2none
2014Feb 5Dec 27nonenone
2013Feb 11Dec 4Jan 17Dec 5
2012Jan 19Dec 14Jan 19none
2011Feb 27Dec 4noneDec 5
2010noneNov 25noneNov 25
2009Jan 11Nov 19Jan 4Dec 6
2008Jan 18Dec 14nonenone
2007Jan 25Dec 1Jan 18none
2006Jan 23Nov 30nonenone
2005Jan 30Nov 28nonenone
2004Feb 12Nov 29noneDec 1
2003Feb 10Nov 23noneNov 23
2002Feb 6Dec 25Jan 31none
2001Feb 15noneJan 18none
2000Jan 8Nov 12Jan 6Nov 13
1999Apr 9Dec 4Jan 12Dec 16
1998noneDec 7noneDec 21
1997Jan 14Dec 26Jan 14none
1996nonenonenonenone
1995noneno datanoneno data
1994Feb 1Nov 23nonenone
1993Jan 12Nov 25Jan 4none
1992Jan 14Dec 15nonenone
1991Jan 17nonenonenone
1990Feb 15Dec 20noneDec 21
1989Feb 14Dec 12Feb 8none
1988Feb 6no dataJan 1no data
1987Feb 27Nov 26Jan 21Dec 25
1986Feb 9no datanoneno data
1985Feb 11Nov 12Feb 1Nov 19
1984Jan 18Nov 26nonenone
1983Jan 20Dec 21nonenone
1982Feb 11Dec 8Jan 9Dec 30
1981nonenonenonenone
1980Jan 29Dec 6noneDec 7
1979Feb 4Dec 12Jan 29none
1978Jan 25Nov 14noneDec 8
1977Mar 14Nov 20noneDec 20
1976Mar 4Nov 28Jan 4Dec 29
1975Mar 28Nov 19Jan 30Dec 15
1974Feb 7Dec 23noneDec 24
1973Jan 28Nov 21Jan 8none
1972Feb 3Dec 5Feb 3Dec 8
1971Mar 6Dec 10Mar 2Dec 16
1970Jan 29Dec 24Jan 6none
1969Mar 9Nov 30Jan 29Dec 31
1968Jan 28Dec 3Jan 5Dec 21
1967Mar 5Dec 2Jan 9Dec 14
1966Mar 4Oct 14Feb 11Dec 27
1965Feb 16Nov 28Jan 8Dec 15
1964Mar 9Nov 15Jan 15Nov 16
1963Jan 25Dec 10Jan 21Dec 11
1962Mar 13Dec 25Feb 27Dec 25
1961Feb 19Nov 17Jan 5Nov 17
1960Mar 2Dec 6Jan 16Dec 6
1959May 5Nov 13noneDec 7
1958Mar 7Nov 17noneNov 17
1957Feb 5Nov 23Feb 4none
1956Mar 7Nov 20Feb 2Dec 8
1955Mar 17Nov 25Feb 20none
1954Mar 23Nov 30noneDec 27
1953Mar 3Dec 22noneDec 28
1952Jan 9Nov 20Jan 9Nov 25
1951Mar 11Dec 8Feb 1Dec 9

"none" means the station recorded no freeze at that threshold in that half of the year. "no data" means more than 10% of the season's daily readings were missing. Years with no usable data are left out. See the methodology for the rules, and the ZIP lookup for 1991–2020 frost probabilities.